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I was speaking in the context of winning the primary. It was relevant because that kind of loyalty leads to a higher participation rate in activism,...

Fortunately, his support never goes above 43%. If not for the GOP advantage in the midwest, 2020 wouldn't be even close.

I think you both are missing the obvious which is that while fanatical to be sure, both Bernie and Yang's support pale in comparison to Trump....

What are you basing this on? Was it his false claim that he's doing better against Trump than are the other candidates? ...

Yeah, his base is constrained to some specific demographics that he needs to break out of, and his ability to do so hasn't really been tested yet....

In quantitative terms, Yang's current as well as likely potential support both seem unimpressive outside the tech bro demographic. Even with ranked...

:rolleyes: I know you're itching to pick a fight, but you really need to start reading what I write instead of what you wanted me to write. I...

Shame that your anecdotes are inconsistent with reality. Not only is Yang polling at 3-4% in Iowa, but he's the second choice of 3% of likely...

Its double-taxation. Wages come from pre-tax company income - dividends are paid post-tax. Hence small business owners like plumbers, electricians...

Racism towards Asians has always been softer, and I think most of the racists are locked-in Trump supporters anyways. I don't think it'd be a big...

Trump was polling at 28% at this point in 2015. He was in the lead almost continuously from July 2015. Yang's biggest problem is that he's polling...

Biggest problem for yang in the general would be the racism this country still hasn't addressed. Same morons who screamed about Obama being from...

There's going to be so much tactical voting this time around the BBC analysts are going to have an absolute field day come election night.

Lots of experts said Trump had 0% of winning the primary. Personally I do think Yang is an outside chance, Democrats right now have their blood up...

I think I've decided. I know that I will not vote for this current incarnation of the Conservative party. I despise Boris Johnson, and each member...

They're currently a more, ahem, "tax efficient" way for business owners to pay themselves instead of a salary. I guess a lot of small business owners...

Are dividends not income?

The Silicon Valley obsession with Yang would be amusing if Silicon Valley didn't have so much economic power. There's 0% chance Yang wins the...

That's the thin end of the wedge, the change to dividends is a killer. Many small businesses have turnover over £300k and that's a 9% increase...

A 2% rise over two years? Whatever will they do.

Yeah my link was a joke. Labour's real manifesto is insane. Other highlights of the manifesto: Taxing all dividends as income, again destroying...

Sorry if I misread, mine was order of preference with a tongue in cheek element of humour. I don't think an alien attack is more likely than Trump...

It's so very weird the way America places more importance on a candidate's personality/character/ability to debate than their actual policies. I...

Effects from last night's debate. Klobuchar made more of an impression than I expected, but no other real surprises.

Labour's real manifesto meanwhile, makes for more grim reading than that silly Tory site. An excerpt from one of their .pdf downloads on funding:...

Not in the UK till March. :( No Disney tv here till then.

My Power Ranking: Warren or Sanders: They are basically the same on almost every policy issue. Eventually one will drop out and endorse the...

Sorry, I was unclear; I was referring to attention from the public, not attention from the media. Expect their potential base overlaps too much with...

Wait, are you all doing order of preference? I'll edit my OP to make it more clear, but I was listing order by chances of winning, and I wanted to...

Booker and Castro have no support, and that's even with the media trying to push Booker hard. He's been getting treated like a major candidate even...