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What possible reason could there be to work bi-partisanly with a group which a) will likely have nothing to offer in return b) would not honour any...

Working bi-partisanly is not a failure. That Trump is the first President in decades not to do it is not something to be emulated or copied.

I say 'no discernible reason'... it's pretty damn obvious why they do it.

I think I made my position on the Democrat's tendency to cave to Republicans for no discernible reason abundantly clear in the Democrat nominations...

You're upset he might follow the precedence of Obama and Bill Clinton rather than the precedence of Trump?

Of course I do. The question, wig, is why you don't.

Do you honestly have a problem with, say, Charlie Baker serving in a technocratic position in the cabinet?

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/20/biden-transition-republican-cabinet-429972 are you fucking kidding me with this shit

Blast from the past but GoG is giving EUII for free. https://www.gog.com/game/europa_universalis_ii

Right, so I think I know where the guy who wrote the comment I read got this from. ...

In Texas more turnout now already is past the 50% point of 2016. The numbers who have already voted is unprecedented. Some states could hit all of...

I just watched a documentary called My Octopus Teacher. It was fascinating. I think octopuses are fascinating all by themselves, so this was...

Even if turnout goes up across the board, Biden benefits. There is no reason to think turnout will go up more for Republicans. There's plenty of...

I've read a take about how Trump's personality may influence his chances. What is most important for Trump? Trump and being the best <insert...

After 1 day of early voting in my county

Well, that could either represent higher Dem turn out and depressed GOP turnout, or increased turnout across the board. For me there are still too...

Generally true, but the percentage of early voters who are Democrats is much higher than usual. As for people changing their minds: look at...

From the data I saw early voters tend massively Democrat whereas the Republicans tend to turn out more on the day itself, and in any case early...

There is an equal probability of a 6% swing in the other direction. And even that 6% swing for Trump would be insufficient at this point given how...

1318209045719883778 This would be where you get into the specifics of the electoral college math, where Republicans have an advantage. Certainly,...

That would be an unprecedented polling error. There is far less uncertainty now than in 2016. We know which groups vote for Trump. Third parties...

Yesterday I signed the contract for a new VW ID.3, to be delivered in March (there were varying reasons why March, but the current delivery delay...

The 12% covers both. He factors in both the chance that the polls were wrong and the chance of the polls moving between now and election day. As...

Silver's prediction is that there is a 12% chance of the polls being wrong enough for Trump to win, not that there's a 12% change he might pull it...

American lives aren't a thing Republicans worry about. Fiscal responsibility isn't a thing Republicans worry about. Family values aren't a thing...

Also the stability of the polling this year is remarkable and totally different to 2016.

Fraud, voter suppression and America no longer being a democracy. Silver gives Biden more chance of being over 400 ECVs than Trump has of winning.

Nate Silver doesn't want to get burned again. No one's coming back from being down 10+% 2 weeks before an election, especially with record early...

Nate Silver is giving Trump a 12% chance currently.

Won't happen. Only way he "wins" is if GOP state governments send a Republican slate of electors even in states won by Biden.