Well, voting is over. Let's see what Europe will be like tomorrow morning.
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Well, voting is over. Let's see what Europe will be like tomorrow morning.
Same as it was this morning.
Does anyone know why American polling stations start reporting within minutes of the polls closing, while we're lucky to get any British data within hours? Are there mandatory tea breaks?
Yeah, I've been wondering about that too. They act as if a binary vote is difficult to report because of what? And what's with taking up to 9 hours to finish the count? It all smacks of poor organization.Quote:
Originally Posted by Loki
Seems by the way that the political hooliganism that Randblade is so fond of was rejected by a majority of the British voters. Given that the Pound already has been rising strongly for the last 5 hours that's not going to be a big surprise to anyone.
Americans presumably start reporting exit polls, not the actual results within a minute, right?
I think the difference lies in the fact that the Brits feel some odd need to drive all the ballot boxes to a counting center. In Holland we've also got some smaller polling stations that by now already would have been about 40 minutes past reporting the final results.Quote:
Originally Posted by Flixy
No, actual results.
Hazir might be right there. Each polling station does a tally in the US. Seems odd to drive all the ballots to a central station.
I hope the leader of the Conservative Party has learned from this that the only way to deal with europhobes is to kick them in the teeth. Reasoning with them is useless and only stands in the way of working on sensible reforms.
Farage is saying he thinks Remain have got it, thanks to some polling done by some banking firms, and he's complaining that the governments decision to extend the vote registration deadline is what tipped it in remain's favour.
You know, in case anyone was worried that Farage was going to stop being a piece of shit just because he got the vote he's wanted his entire career.
Close win for Remain in Newcastle. Expectations were that it would be higher.
The second Leave took a lead, the pound dropped 2 cents against the dollar.
British election results are announced by Constituency. The Constituency results once announced are final.Quote:
Originally Posted by Loki
Pound down 6%
I think Leave may have done this ...
Looks like the bankers were a bit too confident in their internal polling. This is what happens when you think you're smarter than expert pollsters.
If Leave have done this the pollsters failed. The final polls showed a solid Remain lead.
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/ind...polling-chart/
There's no precedent for this kind of a vote. It was impossible to calibrate polling results for party ID, demographics, or turnout. They were educated guesses, no more.
Seems like some services are not able to cope. And my pc crashed.
The PC doesn't want to Remain on. :o
Ok I'm back, but bloomberg isn't. i think someone made a typo in that drop of the value of the pound. It's still bad but no 6% yet.
Well shit looks like we've actually done it. I hope I'm right about the economic consequences.
If these trends continue, I fully expect the market to fall upwards of 2-3% tomorrow. At least my next British vacation will be cheaper.
2-3% is nothing in the big picture.
Hazir looks like it's all over. Bye bye.
Leave now in the lead on Betfair, odds on result. Pollsters have a lot to answer for after last year making an even bigger mess of it this time.
You realize that the polling average right now is even odds, right?
I assume you mean Betting Average? The betting average has been hugely leaning towards Remain all along, even when Leave had a polling average it was still 3/1.
Based on the par spreadsheet Leave has done better than par in 90% of constituencies so far, this isn't close so far.
Sky have projected a Leave victory of 56% to 44% which would be utterly stunning.
No, the average of polls.
The polls have failed for the second time in as many years. The final polls showed an overwhelming Remain lead. Whoops.
What are you talking about? The average of polls showed a tie.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/graph...-eu-referendum
Average of polls 50/50, lot of attention given to late reporting pollsters predicting clear victory for Remain.