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Type: Posts; User: wiggin

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  1. Replies
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    So what? The mask causes a change in behavior...

    So what? The mask causes a change in behavior which increases your risk. But I don't really care to pursue this semantic argument.
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    Wraith, I appreciate what you're doing and I...

    Wraith, I appreciate what you're doing and I broadly agree with your approach. Perhaps I have not appropriately represented my views here. I don't make a habit of denouncing the cloth mask directives...
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    I'm not 'for' or 'against' masks. I am reminded...

    I'm not 'for' or 'against' masks. I am reminded about when I heard someone ask an engineer working at Exxon Mobil if he believed in climate change. His response was that it's not a matter of belief,...
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    I'm surprised you'd say that given what I've been...

    I'm surprised you'd say that given what I've been saying for the last week. Let us imagine that someone who wears a mask has worse behavior such as: touching their face/mask/mucous membranes, less...
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    Your hostility nonwithstanding, I'd point you to...

    Your hostility nonwithstanding, I'd point you to the literature on risk compensation, especially wrt vaccination (which is the most relevant comparator in widely studied literature). There isn't data...
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    Honestly I don't know what to make of things. I...

    Honestly I don't know what to make of things. I still think normal price discovery mechanisms are broken so people are reacting to rumors, the latest news cycle, and wishful thinking. That being...
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    I am not an expert on HIV transmission, but I...

    I am not an expert on HIV transmission, but I would assume that there is high quality data about the relative efficacy of different methods to prevent transmission of HIV, especially for PrEP. But I...
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    Let's see. First, this is from a meta-analysis...

    Let's see. First, this is from a meta-analysis published yesterday, while public health advice has been around for a few months with poor support. Second, if you read the Lancet piece you'll see the...
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    A followup for Loki. I'd invite you to read this...

    A followup for Loki. I'd invite you to read this opinion piece published a couple of days ago in Science:

    https://science.sciencemag.org/content/sci/early/2020/05/27/science.abc6197.full.pdf
    ...
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    Perfect knowledge, no. Some actual data, hell...

    Perfect knowledge, no. Some actual data, hell yes. Not all coronaviruses are the same, and definitely not all respiratory viruses are the same. The way in which most transmission occurs varies widely...
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    I mean, there are worse people to attack. Have...

    I mean, there are worse people to attack. Have you seen 2012? Just saying.
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    Loki, there's two different concerns that I have:...

    Loki, there's two different concerns that I have:

    First, we do not have evidence that cloth masks substantially affect the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. Just because it sometimes has modest effects...
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    I have a substantive response but I'm afraid my...

    I have a substantive response but I'm afraid my schedule is full until Sat pm. I'll try to get back to this then.
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    There's evidence about social distancing, albeit...

    There's evidence about social distancing, albeit poor quality. Afaik there isn't any on cloth face masks. We should also be cautious extrapolating from influenza, the public health considerations are...
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    Ah, but my concern has nothing to do with my...

    Ah, but my concern has nothing to do with my personal choice to wear a mask. I'm trained in sterile technique and could use a mask in the least awful way possible; it's likely that there's a marginal...
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    This is not a cop out at all. The only way we...

    This is not a cop out at all. The only way we actually know if an intervention works is by testing it. You know all of the furor over hydroxychloroquine? The proposed mechanism of action frankly...
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    None of this is actually known to be true, it's...

    None of this is actually known to be true, it's just the current best guess line of supposition. There are extremely few studies that have been done to look at the effect of community use of masks to...
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    Don't worry, they don't do all that much when...

    Don't worry, they don't do all that much when they cover your mouth and nose, either.
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    Of course the system benefits me. I was born as...

    Of course the system benefits me. I was born as an American citizen, male, and by the latest standards in American racial divisions I'm considered white. And I have a college-educated father (and a...
  20. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
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    Don't trust us. Talk to your child's physician...

    Don't trust us. Talk to your child's physician (ideally pulmonologist). They will understand your child's overall health and the severity of her asthma and can help you make an informed decision.
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    No, you're probably right that I'm an elite. I'm...

    No, you're probably right that I'm an elite. I'm very well educated, and my wife and I objectively make a very good living by both global and US standards (though we're hardly wealthy yet). I don't...
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    You... didn't get it. It's not hard to hire...

    You... didn't get it.

    It's not hard to hire household help. I had a friend who put up a post on care.com and received like 70 resumes in a day. People are in need of jobs, and working parents are...
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    Talked to a tax lawyer friend of mine who has...

    Talked to a tax lawyer friend of mine who has done this whole process before, and you know what's crazy? There are parts of the law that are pretty much impossible to comply with. They tried to find...
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    Our childcare isn't opening until July at the...

    Our childcare isn't opening until July at the earliest and my guess is they'll have capacity restrictions that might mean we can't use it full time for months. Honestly at this rate I'm worried about...
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    We're considering hiring a nanny for the summer...

    We're considering hiring a nanny for the summer in the anticipation that daycares might continue to be closed (or on limited capacity) for a while, and figuring that a crapload of students didn't get...
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