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    Arguments like Burry's have been around for...

    Arguments like Burry's have been around for years. If they were going to have an effect on the market, it would at best show up as a slowing in the shift to passive investing, which itself is nearly...
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    How do you know?

    How do you know?
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    This entire presidency has been bad news for...

    This entire presidency has been bad news for Israel.
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    I read Burry's comments with interest when...

    I read Burry's comments with interest when Bloomberg interviewed him, and I've heard similar arguments in the past. The question is how large a chunk of the market needs to be owned by indices before...
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    IIRC researching the dangerous techs dramatically...

    IIRC researching the dangerous techs dramatically speeds up the arrival of the crisis, giving you less time to build up forces.
  6. Attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure: a risky game

    I'm sure you've all seen news reports of two drone attacks by Houthis on large Saudi oil facilities deep inside Saudi Arabia. It appears that there is at least a temporary shutdown of over 5m barrels...
  7. Agreed that the numbers and the counterfactuals...

    Agreed that the numbers and the counterfactuals matter, and that the calculation is going to differ for each individual. I guess what I'm trying to get at is less a definitive answer and more of a...
  8. Thread: Zionuts

    by wiggin
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    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/...

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/newsbeat-49686018

    Making the announcement while wearing what bears a strong resemblance to an Iron Cross? Classy.
  9. Well, let's take the case I presented. An...

    Well, let's take the case I presented. An average woman in the US has about a 12% chance of developing breast cancer sometime in her lifetime. With some BRCA 1/2 mutations, that jumps up to about...
  10. What's high? 5%? 20? 80?

    What's high? 5%? 20? 80?
  11. Managing cancer risks: population wide screening and individual strategies

    I read with interest the recent recommendations from the US Preventive Services Task Force on BRCA 1/2 testing. The tl;dr is that they were expanding the population of women who are recommended to...
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    IIRC static defenses were pretty useless against...

    IIRC static defenses were pretty useless against anything other than pirates unless you had a really solid chokepoint backed up by a shitload of ships. The defense/offense buffs you could get from...
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    I'm not sure. I remember there was some newish...

    I'm not sure. I remember there was some newish automation possible which was absurdly bad, leaving my population always unhappy if I didn't aggressively intervene. Once I had a few dozen planets I...
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    Hmm if I ever go back I can check it out. Did...

    Hmm if I ever go back I can check it out. Did they ever make planetary management less tedious? I remember it was a huge timesuck when empires got large enough.
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    Honestly my complaint with Federations (if my...

    Honestly my complaint with Federations (if my outdated gameplay knowledge is still relevant) was how stupid the AIs were in a war, especially in Crises. I never found it worth the effort.
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    Honestly, I wouldn't pay a church tax just on...

    Honestly, I wouldn't pay a church tax just on principle. But that's because I'm an American who is allergic to the idea of an established religion in a secular state.
  17. Thread: Zionuts

    by wiggin
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    Whether or not your stipulation about the US...

    Whether or not your stipulation about the US government is correct, the general position of successive Israeli governments is to politely ignore the Christian underpinnings of part of the US...
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    Interesting responses, thanks for sharing. ...

    Interesting responses, thanks for sharing.

    Traditionally we've been in the 'diffuser' camp, but we've gotten more disciplined about it lately. Our charitable giving generally falls into three...
  19. Thread: Zionuts

    by wiggin
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    81,484

    You're really wandering here, so I'll leave this...

    You're really wandering here, so I'll leave this alone after this post. You started by speculating about how converts vs. natural born Jews might differ in their feelings about Christian theology...
  20. Thread: Zionuts

    by wiggin
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    81,484

    Pretty sure that Jews of all stripes - converts...

    Pretty sure that Jews of all stripes - converts or not - are not huge fans of Christian theology that supports Israel only as a vehicle for the eventual Rapture - where most or all of said Jews are...
  21. Thread: Zionuts

    by wiggin
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    844
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    81,484

    Judaism is primarily viewed as a religion, and to...

    Judaism is primarily viewed as a religion, and to distinguish between those who have been born into the faith as opposed to those who have chosen the faith is pretty problematic in nearly any...
  22. Thread: Zionuts

    by wiggin
    Replies
    844
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    81,484

    Firstly, I haven't a clue why being born Jewish...

    Firstly, I haven't a clue why being born Jewish vs choosing to be Jewish would affect how one views Trump's comments.

    Second, the distinction you're drawing is deeply offensive to anyone who has...
  23. Thread: Zionuts

    by wiggin
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    844
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    81,484

    What, precisely, is the difference between a...

    What, precisely, is the difference between a 'true' Jew or an adopted one?
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    What's your charitable giving strategy?

    Recently some friends of mine were asked to join the board of a local social services charity. It's not a huge charity - maybe $25 million in annual turnover - but I was still surprised. After all,...
  25. Thread: Zionuts

    by wiggin
    Replies
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    81,484

    I've got no problem with Rashida Tlaib. Sure,...

    I've got no problem with Rashida Tlaib. Sure, she used this to score political points, but I reject Deri's basic argument that she 'hates Israel more than she loves her grandmother'. The interior...
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