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  1. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    I am frequently shocked at how ostensibly...

    I am frequently shocked at how ostensibly intelligent people have trouble understanding vaccinations. I recently heard from a relative who was publicly discussing how she was so happy she would be...
  2. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    Hazir, there's two unrelated issues at hand here....

    Hazir, there's two unrelated issues at hand here. The first is that the UK has done a reasonably good job of sourcing doses and getting shots into arms. I'd say they have done as well or better than...
  3. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    I do not believe there is anything that can...

    I do not believe there is anything that can convince me that based on information available at the time of the decision the UK made a scientifically sound decision. The only thing that would change...
  4. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    No.

    No.
  5. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    I do not think there is additional value in me...

    I do not think there is additional value in me repeating myself.
  6. Replies
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    Agreed, I like the idea in principle, I just...

    Agreed, I like the idea in principle, I just think it's currently premature for all but the most sophisticated of consumers. Things like smart thermostats are likely to yield better results.
  7. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    I cannot emphasize enough how you cannot compare...

    I cannot emphasize enough how you cannot compare apples to oranges. The UK and Israeli pandemics are entirely different and generalizing from one to the other (not to mention the very different...
  8. Replies
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    1,899

    I haven't seen that kind of granularity in the...

    I haven't seen that kind of granularity in the markets I live in (though obviously some places like Texas go further). As long as there's a cap, there's no real harm, though expecting the individual...
  9. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    I don't know how many times I need to say this: ...

    I don't know how many times I need to say this:

    1. We do not know the counterfactual, about how things would look on a population level with vaccinations following the as-tested dosing.
    2. We do...
  10. Replies
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    1,899

    There are three distinct things going on here: ...

    There are three distinct things going on here:

    The first is retail customers having automatic stabilizers on their consumption based on load on the grid, in exchange for cheaper prices (e.g....
  11. Replies
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    There are some theoretical advantages to be had...

    There are some theoretical advantages to be had by having exposure to the wholesale spot market, not just the obvious one of having lower power prices in times of abundance (sometimes negative in...
  12. Replies
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    Steely didn't say the power prices were because...

    Steely didn't say the power prices were because of privatization, OG implied that.
  13. Replies
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    1,899

    The bills are distinct from infrastructure...

    The bills are distinct from infrastructure mismanagement. The bills are because of a foolish ability for consumers to fully expose themselves to spot prices on the wholesale market. This isn't the...
  14. Replies
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    As others have said in this thread, the cold...

    As others have said in this thread, the cold weather was certainly unusual but not really unexpected. Previous cold snaps in the last two decades have resulted in multiple recommendations to improve...
  15. I could have provided some more context...

    I could have provided some more context. Bottom line: Feldman has two chief complaints:

    1. He and his then-girlfriend were 'nowhere to be found' in the picture in the alumni newsletter.
    2. His...
  16. While I'm not sure I agree with the school's...

    While I'm not sure I agree with the school's actions, I don't think they're so clearly in the wrong here. When the matter was essentially internal to the school community - other parents and...
  17. It falls very roughly under their 'neuroscience...

    It falls very roughly under their 'neuroscience and cognition' category, which is one of the four basic focus areas. It was part of a special issue looking at the neurocognitive basis for political...
  18. It looks like 'political conservatism' was a...

    It looks like 'political conservatism' was a factor name, ranging from (presumably) quite liberal to conservative. And they had a number of other factors that they looked at like 'dogmatism',...
  19. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    The paper was refreshing to read, it was fairly...

    The paper was refreshing to read, it was fairly competently analyzed and executed. I have some quibbles on their exclusion criteria and look forward to seeing some analysis on particularly vulnerable...
  20. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    My point is that there are much better datasets...

    My point is that there are much better datasets to support the narrow contention that you have reasonably good efficacy in weeks 3 and 4 - something that I should mention there's little debate about....
  21. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    RB, I find it puzzling that you reported this...

    RB, I find it puzzling that you reported this particular study result. The study size is quite small, the studied cohort is irrelevant to a high risk population, and the results don't tell us...
  22. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    Circling back on this, things look better both on...

    Circling back on this, things look better both on the level of my state and the country as a whole. The US is dosing about 0.5/100 a day, which is a substantial improvement from two weeks back. They...
  23. This is actually an interesting question. There's...

    This is actually an interesting question. There's a lot of reason why politicians and much of the public look at markets as a measure of economic strength. First off, they're a rapid gauge of...
  24. Replies
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    'Lovely snowy weather'

    'Lovely snowy weather'
  25. Thread: covid-19

    by wiggin
    Replies
    3,047
    Views
    82,104

    The Israeli data tell you what your protection is...

    The Israeli data tell you what your protection is at 6 weeks against an ever-shrinking control group when you administer the vaccine as it was authorized to be administered. There's some subtleties...
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