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Thread: Iran War

  1. #1

    Default Iran War

    When the Ukraine war started there was a lot of good commentary and public analysis done, but it's a lot harder to find for this, here in the US. You can find cheer-leading and doomish talk but it's kept mostly vague and abstract and of course I don't trust a word from official government sources. I know any kind of semi-reliable information is going to be harder to come by in general, compared to the first six months fighting in Ukraine but does anyone have some decent sources?
    Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"

  2. #2
    You should be supporting Operation Epstein Fury unconditionally, like you have been supporting sending American treasure and service people to die for Israel. And if you don?t support it like you used to, you are an antisemite.

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by LittleFuzzy View Post
    When the Ukraine war started there was a lot of good commentary and public analysis done, but it's a lot harder to find for this, here in the US. You can find cheer-leading and doomish talk but it's kept mostly vague and abstract and of course I don't trust a word from official government sources. I know any kind of semi-reliable information is going to be harder to come by in general, compared to the first six months fighting in Ukraine but does anyone have some decent sources?
    Amwaj, and their EIC's recurring interviews on CNN, see eg:

    https://bsky.app/profile/protik.bsky.../3mgpv6amkqk2w

    Full disclosure: he's a notorious liar and a pervert however, also one of only a handful of high profile analysts with dispassionate perspectives based on extensive policy work on different sides of this toxic relationship (eg. JCPOA negs, diplomatic consultancy).

    You might also enjoy this analysis on unexamined assumptions abt Iran's drone economics:

    https://www.phenomenalworld.org/anal...t-of-a-shahed/
    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  4. #4
    It's guess it's hard to do analysis when the US hasn't really been coherently articulate what their objectives actually are.

    If the belief was that bombing Iran and killing the top leadership was going to induce regime change, that obviously hasn't happened. As of 19 days after the start of the war Iran is also still able to deliver attacks against Israel and the gulf states and threaten shipping in the strait of Hormuz, even after a Desert Storm level air campaign, so I would suppose that would mean the US/Israel seriously underestimated how resilient Iran's drone and ballistic missile forces are. China will be taking judicious notes about the effectiveness of US AMB interceptors vs the more advanced types of ballistic missile.
    The light that once I thought compassion still casting shadows in your action
    The words you shared were cold transactions that bring me to curse what you've done
    When you're up there absorbed in greatness with such success you've grown complacent
    I hope you scorch your many faces when you fly too close to the sun

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