Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
He has 743 while the remaining candidates have 716 delegates between them. Rubio has some true but is not going to be winning more, while Cruz has 20% of his delegates from his home state that won't be occurring again. Kasich has nearly 50% of his delegates from his home state that won't be occurring again.

Trump hasn't reached his effective home state (New York) yet, that is next week and he is likely to win the vast bulk if not all of the 95 delegates available there.
The point is he's won less than half of the available thus far, and he's unlikely to improve that pace in the future. He's going to do well in New York and the other states on the east Coast, but he's also going to do relatively poorly everywhere else (getting 30-40%, which not enough to get 51% of the delegates in most states), especially on the west coast.

Incidentally, Trump plateaued nationally, and he's down about 6-8% from his peak last month.