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Thread: TRUMP 2016

  1. #2521
    For the principle of checks and balances to work effectively in the way you're thinking, you need the different actors to check each other and to affirm one another's authority, with an intensity commensurate with any excesses attempted by any of the branches, and proactively.

    Right now, Congress isn't doing much to encourage good behavior, and the limited resistance from the judiciary is more likely to undermine the courts' standing in the eyes of the public than to constitute a meaningful and lasting check on the Trump administration. The outcome will be that the administration will push right up against the farthest limits of its authority, possibly pushing those boundaries farther back than intended or ideal, either in general or in specific matters, with long-lasting consequences (eg. the harm done to US-Muslim relations as a consequence of the immigration order). It's a risky state of affairs.
    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  2. #2522
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    What Senate? The one that confirmed all but one Trump nominee (and that one for hiring an illegal immigrant as a nanny)? The one that refused to do anything about the immigration ban? Give me a break.

    A) The president's power can expand greatly if Congress doesn't challenge his usurpation of congressional powers.
    B) The president can simply ignore court decisions unless Congress threatens to do something about it.

    As for the media, all the Trumpists are in their own world. They don't give a damn about the mainstream media is reporting. They still don't think Flynn did anything wrong (other than "lying to Pence").
    And yet Flynn is still out (the Cabinet-level advisor closest to the President and arguably the most important/influential person in a President's administration), and the Senate Intelligence Committee has still launched an investigation. Someone is plainly listening.
    Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"

  3. #2523
    Quote Originally Posted by Aimless View Post
    Reading the recent posts and articles on Russiagate, I must confess I feel that the talk of the Logan Act and scornful dismissals of "Manchurian candidate"-type conspiracy theories kinda miss the point. You don't need to break a nearly-defunct law or be a Russian plant or even be blackmailed to raise serious concerns. It's concerning enough that an influential member of the administration of one of the most important stabilizing actors in the world has demonstrated extremely poor judgement and unreliability in his approach to dealing with one of the most dangerous agents of destabilization. The possibility that he may have acted with the knowledge and blessing of other more influential members of the administration, including the president, is even more concerning. How the US deals with Russia may prove to be the most important foreign policy issue of our time and right now it looks like we'll all be telling the story (if we live ) of how the US fucked that up thanks to a bunch of dangerously incompetent zealots who were left unchecked by congress and the public both.
    This I think is the most important point, and one that has been sorely underrepresented here. My greatest fear isn't that Russia backdoor-ed in an agent and is pulling strings - that seems fairly farfetched to me; instead it is the sad truth that we have a ridiculously unprepared, naive, incompetent, and foolhardy president, who is surrounding himself with individuals who aren't much better. Hanlon's Razor is alive and well.

    On the other hand, it does give me some small measure of satisfaction to see the dawning realization by many on the left that the more powerful the government is, the larger a threat to liberty and justice once those they favored are no longer in power. Unfortunately I also realize that this message will only ring true until they are once again in power, and then these hard learned truths will soon be forgotten.

    Well, all fall short of the glory of God so if you'd like to name another leader who emulates Jesus perfectly I'd like to see what you got.

    As it is I think I quite clearly indicated I don't personally like the guy but one particular quality *as a counter point to the rampant overly political correctness in society* that is doing some good in the public sphere is hardly high praise or a suggestion that he's Christ like.
    I'd be hard pressed to think of someone who is doing more to NOT emulate Jesus, but I suppose an argument could be made for Kim Jong Un, Duterte or Putin. Then again, those aren't the leader I generally want named in the same breath as our president.

    Look, I'm no fan of political correctness for political correctness sake, nor the victim culture that seems to have gripped so many in this generation. Somehow I don't think that going out of your way to be offensive is a compelling argument for my views, nor do I think it contributes to civility.
    Last edited by Enoch the Red; 02-16-2017 at 03:19 AM.

  4. #2524
    Quote Originally Posted by Aimless View Post
    For the principle of checks and balances to work effectively in the way you're thinking, you need the different actors to check each other and to affirm one another's authority, with an intensity commensurate with any excesses attempted by any of the branches, and proactively.
    No. Oh that's the optimal ideal, yes, but it's not the minimum required to work effectively. And realistically, you are never going to get such a system that doesn't become almost purely reactive in the long run. Bad things will happen but they'll get stopped before too much damage is done. That's because a robust proactive system is frequently going to prove too cumbersome in crises.

    Right now, Congress isn't doing much to encourage good behavior, and the limited resistance from the judiciary is more likely to undermine the courts' standing in the eyes of the public than to constitute a meaningful and lasting check on the Trump administration. The outcome will be that the administration will push right up against the farthest limits of its authority, possibly pushing those boundaries farther back than intended or ideal, either in general or in specific matters, with long-lasting consequences (eg. the harm done to US-Muslim relations as a consequence of the immigration order). It's a risky state of affairs.[/QUOTE]
    Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"

  5. #2525
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    As for the media, all the Trumpists are in their own world. They don't give a damn about the mainstream media is reporting. They still don't think Flynn did anything wrong (other than "lying to Pence").
    Talking to Russia isn't a big a deal as you think it is.

  6. #2526
    Quote Originally Posted by Enoch the Red View Post
    Look, I'm no fan of political correctness for political correctness sake, nor the victim culture that seems to have gripped so many in this generation. Somehow I don't think that going out of your way to be offensive is a compelling argument for my views, nor do I think it contributes to civility.
    PC culture and climate means people have to walk on egg shells. Seeing someone blatantly defy the militant left and 'get away with it' lessens that fear. Brings people back to reality. It isn't that Trump is a compelling argument for ending the victim culture, it is about defanging the left and showing them that they only have as much power as we let them.

  7. #2527
    Quote Originally Posted by LittleFuzzy View Post
    And yet Flynn is still out (the Cabinet-level advisor closest to the President and arguably the most important/influential person in a President's administration), and the Senate Intelligence Committee has still launched an investigation. Someone is plainly listening.
    Flynn was dispensable, and quite likely on the wrong side of the power struggle between Bannon and Priebus. And was supported by the GOP until the very moment of his dismissal.

    An investigation (assuming it actually happens) that's aimed entirely at Flynn, who no longer works for Trump. The lesson to any official in the Trump administration: don't lose your job.

    Quote Originally Posted by Lewkowski View Post
    Talking to Russia isn't a big a deal as you think it is.
    If a Democrat did this, you'd be calling for their head. And I'd join you. But now that Russia helping "your side" win, it stops being a threat.
    Hope is the denial of reality

  8. #2528
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    Flynn was dispensable, and quite likely on the wrong side of the power struggle between Bannon and Priebus. And was supported by the GOP until the very moment of his dismissal.

    An investigation (assuming it actually happens) that's aimed entirely at Flynn, who no longer works for Trump. The lesson to any official in the Trump administration: don't lose your job.
    Of course he was dispensable. Every one in the Trump administration is dispensable except for Trump. No matter how much you wish he was too, he won the election, sorry. You're gonna have to move on from that battle. Importantly, Flynn's side in the power struggle is the one you don't like more, the one that is more dangerous to the US and not just "grade A conservative" (which, again, you're just going to have to get used to for the next four years. Even if Trump does somehow get impeached, you're still going to be left with a conservative administration. Get over it). You're going to see more situations like Flynn's, figures who get jettisoned once problems arise/start getting attention rather than staying and fighting a battle on behalf of the administration against investigations and criticisms. Because Trump is President and that's how the man works. I realize you desperately want to play "gotcha" games and this disappoints you but it's just not going to be that kind of Presidency. Trump has a thin skin, we all know that, this is one of the consequences of that. The real lesson is of course, "don't get caught" but that's been the truism in DC for longer than you and I have been alive combined.
    Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"

  9. #2529
    Quote Originally Posted by Steely Glint View Post
    Greenwald is characterizing the criticisms aimed at Snowden et al as 'you should never leak anything in any circumstances', because of course he is.

    It is not at all inconsistent to say 'Snowden shouldn't have leaked that stuff because it damaged national security and helped Americas enemies, but it was ok for whoever leaked the Flynn stuff because they were exposing someone in the administration as (huge) national security risk - and the administration knew about it and refused to act on it'.
    While in principle I agree with you that there is an important distinction, I think Greenwald and others have a point in that leakers during the Obama years were pursued in an unprecedented manner for a variety of offenses - both grave and not-so-grave - and that the rhetoric surrounding such actions was not couched in such shaded arguments.

    I think a better argument should be that people should always feel conflicted about leaks that appear to be done on ideological, rather than commercial, grounds. If we share the general concerns of the leaker (Trump's relationship with Russia, US conduct of wars overseas, US surveillance programs and their potential for unconstutitutional/illegal behavior), we should feel that throwing the book at them is not the obvious, unambiguous response. There needs to be a careful evaluation of whether their motives were appropriate, whether they released information in a responsible manner, and what damage was done to national security as a result of the leak. I think the big argument against Snowden is that his motives may or may not have been good, but the information was released in an entirely inappropriate manner, including (probably) a great deal of information that was provided to Russian (and Chinese?) intelligence but not released to the public. This is deeply damaging to national security but provides little in the way of a public good. Manning is a somewhat better case (and obviously Obama agreed, to an extent), though the damage is by no means minimal. The damage to national security from revealing the existence of conversations between Flynn and Russian agents/diplomats and very modest information about their contents is, on the face of it, quite small. (One could, of course, argue that the gravity of the revelations regarding mass surveillance of Americans outweighed the gravity of the Flynn-Russia connections as well.)

    Even so, I am deeply troubled by the precedent of elements of the intelligence community appearing to actively conspire against the lawfully elected executive power of the United States. I recall some mention by a poster here earlier (LF?) suggesting that to an extent this always happens, with the intelligence community acting to preserve their position and power against an encroaching administration, but I think whether this is unprecedented or not, it's deeply concerning. They have no properly constituted power to act against elected officials, and this worries me - whether they be NSA contractors or whoever leaked the Flynn data.

    I understand the concept of the press being a 'fourth estate', if you will - they are a constitutionally protected group that is clearly designed to act as a check on power in the US, just as Congress and SCOTUS are explicitly expected to check executive power. Yet the intelligence community hardly rises to this standard, and their use of their extraordinary power and resources to do anything other follow the legal orders of the executive is problematic. Quasi-independent intelligence fiefdoms have spelled great danger to the freedom of other societies, and even though the current revelation appears to be approximately public-spirited, I am still concerned by the precedent.

    Does this mean that I wouldn't choose to leak the information of any of these circumstances were I in a similar position? Not necessarily, though I hope I would take care to limit the leak to the minimum needed to convey the important information. But I think leakers - especially if they are in our intelligence community - should be prepared to face the consequences of their (generally illegal) actions. Even if they are themselves exposing illegal (or at least unwise) behavior, we cannot condone the methods of rogue intelligence agents. Power is vested in the executive to control this for a reason.

    Quote Originally Posted by LF
    By the way, while everyone has been going doom and gloom and being appalled by the actions of this new administration (and I will acknowledge they've been appalling, short-sighted, and not done well), I think I'd like to point out some of what has happened in his first month in office.

    He has had a nominated secretary withdraw from consideration
    He has had his first major policy blocked by the Courts
    His confirmed choice for NSA has been forced into resignation by a leaky
    Intelligence branch is fighting against him and providing ammunition to
    Senators of his own party calling for investigations into figures and actions by his administration

    Forget the "100 day" honeymoon period, the Trump administration didn't make it two weeks. I find this heartening. I also find it an opportunity for "I told you so" since I recall mentioning a number of those things as being factors which would stop a Trump Presidency from destroying the country. Make it a laughing stock like Italy under Berlusconi sure, all kinds of annoyances and aggravation, but not the catastrophe various posters were carrying on about.

    Look, this is a Conservative presidency (all the wrong kinds of conservative, unfortunately) and no, we're not going to like it. Not liking it is what happens when the side we like loses an election. And it adds insult to injury that the loss was to a clown. But the system of checks and balances doesn't appear to have been dismantled or brushed away into irrelevance. The American public could force it to be over the next few years, I suppose, but it would be a striking break from patterns where we identify those in Washington AS Washington and lower our support for them over time in consequence.
    LF, while I am not all doom and gloom (and I find some of the hysterics I've seen elsewhere to be a bit over the top), I think one could easily recast your narrative as one of incompetence rather than pushback. If Trump's first signature policy had been crafted and implemented with anything approaching competency, court challenges would have a much harder time succeeding (in principle I think a rewritten executive order could probably avoid falling afoul of the constitution). The Sec of Labor withdrawal (and, in fact, the Flynn case) might be chalked up to poor vetting rather than pushback by a resurgent Congress. Despite some rumblings from Senate Republicans in opposition to the administration, Trump has gotten his way most of the time so far (though this is indeed the route I find might hopeful for meaningful opposition to his more egregious plans).

    Isn't it possible that as the administration becomes more experienced and professionalized, they will become more, not less effective in carrying out his loony priorities? Typically administrations come in with a lot more sophistication, and it's showing. But I wonder if this most unprecedented (unpresidented?) of campaigns will morph into an unprecedented term in office. It's hard to compare this to other 'honeymoon' periods - after all, his net favorability rating is crazily lower than any other recently inaugurated POTUS, and he seems to be hell-bent on governing with a highly divisive, uncompromising rhetoric. I don't know if we can easily extrapolate from the current missteps of the administration into an understanding of how much pushback he'll really get on signature policies moving forward.

    In other words, I'm pessimistic but have some hope.
    "When I meet God, I am going to ask him two questions: Why relativity? And why turbulence? I really believe he will have an answer for the first." - Werner Heisenberg (maybe)

  10. #2530
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    If a Democrat did this, you'd be calling for their head. And I'd join you. But now that Russia helping "your side" win, it stops being a threat.
    I'm not sure what you think you are getting at. As long as intelligence wasn't provided (real intelligence not potential future policy positions) I don't see the issue. We were talking about the lame duck portion of the Obama administration. I'm not sure what horrible sin you imagine Flynn having done that endangered America's interests at home or abroad by talking with Russia about the political sanctions that Obama used. Diplomacy was happening.

  11. #2531
    BREAKING: Trump puts drink on side table with no coaster. Impeach now, etc.

    Click to view the full version
    The light that once I thought compassion still casting shadows in your action
    The words you shared were cold transactions that bring me to curse what you've done
    When you're up there absorbed in greatness with such success you've grown complacent
    I hope you scorch your many faces when you fly too close to the sun

  12. #2532
    No class. Bibi has used a coaster so we can forgive all those new settlements in Gaza.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  13. #2533
    Quote Originally Posted by Lewkowski View Post
    I'm not sure what you think you are getting at. As long as intelligence wasn't provided (real intelligence not potential future policy positions) I don't see the issue. We were talking about the lame duck portion of the Obama administration. I'm not sure what horrible sin you imagine Flynn having done that endangered America's interests at home or abroad by talking with Russia about the political sanctions that Obama used. Diplomacy was happening.
    Minus the part where it's illegal for private citizens to engage in diplomacy without the government's approval? Especially with a hostile country. And I'm secret.
    Hope is the denial of reality

  14. #2534
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    Minus the part where it's illegal for private citizens to engage in diplomacy without the government's approval? Especially with a hostile country. And I'm secret.
    Oh yeah that Logan act. Remind me when was the last time it was used? Tell me do you think it will even stand up in court? My prediction in the next 40 years there will not be a single person convicted of it. Care to bet on that? :0

    Was it used during the clear communication that occurred with the incoming Reagan administration and Iran during the hostage crisis?

    Incoming administrations do talk to people around the world.

  15. #2535
    The UK was talking with the incoming administration before it took over. It is inevitable and caused by the enormous delay between the people voting and the person they voted for taking over.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  16. #2536
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    No class. Bibi has used a coaster so we can forgive all those new settlements in Gaza.
    Gaza, really?
    "When I meet God, I am going to ask him two questions: Why relativity? And why turbulence? I really believe he will have an answer for the first." - Werner Heisenberg (maybe)

  17. #2537
    West Bank ...
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  18. #2538
    http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewir...eting-with-cbc

    "Are you going to include the Congressional Black Caucus and the Congressional Hispanic Caucus—" Ryan said.
    "Well, I would. I tell you what, do you want to set up the meeting?" Trump said, speaking over her. "Do you want to set up the meeting?"
    "No, no, no, I'm just a reporter," Ryan said.
    "Are they friends of yours? No, go ahead," Trump continued. "Set up the meeting."

    Trump, displaying that there is always another level of stupid one can reach.
    "In a field where an overlooked bug could cost millions, you want people who will speak their minds, even if they’re sometimes obnoxious about it."

  19. #2539
    Made me think of Heineken for the first time in about a decade that comment.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  20. #2540
    Quote Originally Posted by wiggin View Post
    While in principle I agree with you that there is an important distinction, I think Greenwald and others have a point in that leakers during the Obama years were pursued in an unprecedented manner for a variety of offenses - both grave and not-so-grave - and that the rhetoric surrounding such actions was not couched in such shaded arguments.

    I think a better argument should be that people should always feel conflicted about leaks that appear to be done on ideological, rather than commercial, grounds. If we share the general concerns of the leaker (Trump's relationship with Russia, US conduct of wars overseas, US surveillance programs and their potential for unconstutitutional/illegal behavior), we should feel that throwing the book at them is not the obvious, unambiguous response. There needs to be a careful evaluation of whether their motives were appropriate, whether they released information in a responsible manner, and what damage was done to national security as a result of the leak. I think the big argument against Snowden is that his motives may or may not have been good, but the information was released in an entirely inappropriate manner, including (probably) a great deal of information that was provided to Russian (and Chinese?) intelligence but not released to the public. This is deeply damaging to national security but provides little in the way of a public good. Manning is a somewhat better case (and obviously Obama agreed, to an extent), though the damage is by no means minimal. The damage to national security from revealing the existence of conversations between Flynn and Russian agents/diplomats and very modest information about their contents is, on the face of it, quite small. (One could, of course, argue that the gravity of the revelations regarding mass surveillance of Americans outweighed the gravity of the Flynn-Russia connections as well.)

    Even so, I am deeply troubled by the precedent of elements of the intelligence community appearing to actively conspire against the lawfully elected executive power of the United States. I recall some mention by a poster here earlier (LF?) suggesting that to an extent this always happens, with the intelligence community acting to preserve their position and power against an encroaching administration, but I think whether this is unprecedented or not, it's deeply concerning. They have no properly constituted power to act against elected officials, and this worries me - whether they be NSA contractors or whoever leaked the Flynn data.

    I understand the concept of the press being a 'fourth estate', if you will - they are a constitutionally protected group that is clearly designed to act as a check on power in the US, just as Congress and SCOTUS are explicitly expected to check executive power. Yet the intelligence community hardly rises to this standard, and their use of their extraordinary power and resources to do anything other follow the legal orders of the executive is problematic. Quasi-independent intelligence fiefdoms have spelled great danger to the freedom of other societies, and even though the current revelation appears to be approximately public-spirited, I am still concerned by the precedent.

    Does this mean that I wouldn't choose to leak the information of any of these circumstances were I in a similar position? Not necessarily, though I hope I would take care to limit the leak to the minimum needed to convey the important information. But I think leakers - especially if they are in our intelligence community - should be prepared to face the consequences of their (generally illegal) actions. Even if they are themselves exposing illegal (or at least unwise) behavior, we cannot condone the methods of rogue intelligence agents. Power is vested in the executive to control this for a reason.
    You might ask yourself what, exactly has caused the U.S. intelligence community to act in this fashion.

    Checks and balances only work if all the other arms of government are actually prepared to do their job. At the moment, the judiciary seems to be the only ones who can be bothered. Trump, or at least the White House, were informed of Flynn's actions weeks ago and they didn't do shit. Trump and his team have been pecking away at the principles of separation of powers since basically the moment they took office. Congress hasn't don shit, seeming repealing Obamacare as a greater priority.

    What's an intelligence service to do?

    I do think you're right to be worried, but these are unprecedented times. I would be mildly surprised if American government institutions survive in their present form. If we're lucky, the changes will be minor ones to repair the now rent-open fault lines in American governance.
    The light that once I thought compassion still casting shadows in your action
    The words you shared were cold transactions that bring me to curse what you've done
    When you're up there absorbed in greatness with such success you've grown complacent
    I hope you scorch your many faces when you fly too close to the sun

  21. #2541
    What?

    Flynn was Trump's man, why would Trump attack his own man as part of separation of powers? If you were saying the Senate were informed of this weeks ago and had sat on it then that would be different but generally people don't attack their own side whatever side that is in politics.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  22. #2542
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  23. #2543
    "The press honestly is out of control" . . . the press isn't supposed to be under control you fucking stupid oompa loompa!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-38998362
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  24. #2544
    Senior Member Flixy's Avatar
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    Saying someone out of control does not imply they should be under yours though.
    Keep on keepin' the beat alive!

  25. #2545
    He's sure acting like he wants them under his control though.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  26. #2546
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    What?

    Flynn was Trump's man, why would Trump attack his own man as part of separation of powers? If you were saying the Senate were informed of this weeks ago and had sat on it then that would be different but generally people don't attack their own side whatever side that is in politics.
    Let's pretend for a moment Flynn was acting entirely on his own initiative when he spoke the Russian ambassador: he should have sacked him/asked for his resignation as soon as he heard what he'd done, that he'd lied about it, and that the FBI or whoever thought he might be a security risk.
    The light that once I thought compassion still casting shadows in your action
    The words you shared were cold transactions that bring me to curse what you've done
    When you're up there absorbed in greatness with such success you've grown complacent
    I hope you scorch your many faces when you fly too close to the sun

  27. #2547
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    He's sure acting like he wants them under his control though.
    https://action.donaldjtrump.com/main...bility-survey/
    The light that once I thought compassion still casting shadows in your action
    The words you shared were cold transactions that bring me to curse what you've done
    When you're up there absorbed in greatness with such success you've grown complacent
    I hope you scorch your many faces when you fly too close to the sun

  28. #2548
    Quote Originally Posted by Steely Glint View Post
    When is the last time anyone has seen a push poll this transparent?
    Last edited by Ominous Gamer; 02-17-2017 at 04:36 PM.
    "In a field where an overlooked bug could cost millions, you want people who will speak their minds, even if they’re sometimes obnoxious about it."

  29. #2549
    Quote Originally Posted by wiggin View Post
    W
    Even so, I am deeply troubled by the precedent of elements of the intelligence community appearing to actively conspire against the lawfully elected executive power of the United States. I recall some mention by a poster here earlier (LF?) suggesting that to an extent this always happens, with the intelligence community acting to preserve their position and power against an encroaching administration, but I think whether this is unprecedented or not, it's deeply concerning. They have no properly constituted power to act against elected officials, and this worries me - whether they be NSA contractors or whoever leaked the Flynn data.
    Yeah, it was me. And Greenwald's article mentions others who had been saying the same thing (in less bald terms). And it is absolutely troubling as a structural matter. I promise you that the way it has been working before now is absolutely in the chilling fashion which you're most afraid of. And it has gotten Americans killed. In this case though, the unique circumstances might make it a positive thing for at least this constricted time-frame.

    LF, while I am not all doom and gloom (and I find some of the hysterics I've seen elsewhere to be a bit over the top), I think one could easily recast your narrative as one of incompetence rather than pushback. If Trump's first signature policy had been crafted and implemented with anything approaching competency, court challenges would have a much harder time succeeding (in principle I think a rewritten executive order could probably avoid falling afoul of the constitution). The Sec of Labor withdrawal (and, in fact, the Flynn case) might be chalked up to poor vetting rather than pushback by a resurgent Congress. Despite some rumblings from Senate Republicans in opposition to the administration, Trump has gotten his way most of the time so far (though this is indeed the route I find might hopeful for meaningful opposition to his more egregious plans).

    Isn't it possible that as the administration becomes more experienced and professionalized, they will become more, not less effective in carrying out his loony priorities? Typically administrations come in with a lot more sophistication, and it's showing. But I wonder if this most unprecedented (unpresidented?) of campaigns will morph into an unprecedented term in office. It's hard to compare this to other 'honeymoon' periods - after all, his net favorability rating is crazily lower than any other recently inaugurated POTUS, and he seems to be hell-bent on governing with a highly divisive, uncompromising rhetoric. I don't know if we can easily extrapolate from the current missteps of the administration into an understanding of how much pushback he'll really get on signature policies moving forward.

    In other words, I'm pessimistic but have some hope.
    Trump's inexperience and ignorance (combined with his other personality flaws) have always been one of the reasons for the Doom and Gloom so I don't see why we should not count it for being such. And yeah, I expect the administration will get more experienced and less prone to mistakes. And at the same time, the people and Congress get less and less willing to be cooperative and supportive. I see absolutely nothing on the horizon that is going to change the latter. And while there has never been an administration this inexperienced, few of them are really ready and they all go through this curve. The steepness of it means the Trump administration might increase its experience more quickly, but I don't see how it can beat performance average and that will have a severe impact on enacting controversial policies. Look at how things have gone for Obama's signature initiative, the ACA.
    Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"

  30. #2550
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    When is the last time anyone has seen a push poll this transparent?
    NPR is thinking the same thing:

    http://www.npr.org/2017/02/17/515791..._campaign=news
    The Rules
    Copper- behave toward others to elicit treatment you would like (the manipulative rule)
    Gold- treat others how you would like them to treat you (the self regard rule)
    Platinum - treat others the way they would like to be treated (the PC rule)

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