Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast
Results 1 to 30 of 55

Thread: China Will Grow -- China Will Fail -- China Must Be Controlled

  1. #1

    Default China Will Grow -- China Will Fail -- China Must Be Controlled

    As some of you know, last month I spent some time in Hong Kong and Shanghai. Admittedly the scope of my visit was narrow and I was there on vacation. But I did observe a ton of stuff; the time I spent there wasn't even really relaxing, as there was so much to see.

    Now that I'm a few weeks back in Amerika, a few points that stick out:

    1) Pollution is a huge problem in the cities- You've read about it, but it's seriously really fucking bad. When I got to Hong Kong, my nose started running a lot and my throat hurt a bit. I thought I was getting sick from the 16 hour flight. But I met up with an old friend who lives there now and he said, "Oh, that's the air." And he was right.

    But the air in Shanghai was much worse. Imagine if every breath you took smelled vaguely like a melting plastic bag or a burning iPod. Plus the water quality is all sorts of terrible. Worse yet, Shanghai gets about 15 days of solid blue sky per year due to the smog. My clothes eventually smelled like it when I left.

    I stayed in Shanghai with a friend from home. I remember when he came to New York for a visit he was marveling at the air quality over and over. I didn't get it until I saw Shanghai.

    2) The low-level laborers have a pretty Hobsian existence- One of the contributors to pollution are the 24 hour construction sites. I suspect a lot of the building is getting very speculative and bubble-like, though in China they can't blame the Zio-capitalists and the bankers. But you can go to a bar at night and there will still be people working on multiple construction sites at all hours. They tend to live in dorms and make very little money, but some workers and peddlers can really advance commercially.

    At one point my friend encouraged me to get a back massage. It was $10 US for a 60 minute massage. The masseuse was decent, but at the end I wanted to tip him because frankly it seemed way too cheap. My friend warned me not too -- tipping is seen as insulting, as if I was explicitly telling the masseuse that I'm better than he is.

    Which brings me back to the original point that the masseuse probably made $2 on the massage.

    3) I began to kind of understand the one child policy- I nominally oppose the one child policy, as I would any other policy that literally restricts the freedom to create life. But I kind of see where they're coming from on that.

    Simply put, there are a lot of issues in China that are a function of sheer volume of people.

    EG lots of the parks don't have benches (or have very few). No park could accommodate people just sitting around -- it would just get congested and filled with trash. No, parks are for strolling through. Get in, walk around, get out.

    Of course, the demographic imbalance from the one child policy is going to be really bad for China. But it doesn't take spending too much time there to think that they would do just fine environmentally with fewer people.

    4) The propaganda is pretty sickening...and I couldn't even understand the Chinese propaganda-

    English language newspaper headlines:

    + "Reporters and officials gather to celebrate year of media openness."

    + "FM: China not responsible for climate changes."

    Newspaper articles often cite anonymous online commenters on sensitive issues, which basically means someone makes up something and then puts it in the newspaper. This was done to great effect when the US sold weapons to Taiwan, which prompted a spate of articles about "Netizens" running to the ramparts to blast Amerika.

    I saw a TV show inexplicably in English. The hosts discussed (not debated, there is no debate) that Haiti was unable to recover from their earthquake because their democratic government couldn't summon the strength and unity to rebuild. And this was in English, I can't imagine what kind of stuff is blasted out in the non-English press. Really sickening.

    [B]5) No high level freedoms, but lots of low level freedoms[/B]- So in China you can't say whatever you want or advocate for much political change. But you can do whatever you want as long as it doesn't threaten the state and/or you can pay off the right people.

    For three days I was repeatedly offered drugs at the same corner, which was about 200 feet away from a police station. The drug dealers just give the cops a cut. You can do almost anything as long as the cops get a cut.

    I also met an American guy who lives in Shanghai. While out drinking, he fell into an American-born Chinese guy, who was also drunk and fell, breaking his nose. The American-born Chinese guy got the [white] American arrested, moved to a different prison so his girlfriend couldn't find him and then chained to a chair for 36 hours. The American was told he could either wait 12 months for a trial, or pay $16,000 US to the American-born Chinese guy [and the police].

    I was stunned to hear this story, and other people in the group also thought it was intense. But everyone there knew someone or had heard of a similar story before. The corruption is a major issue.

    6) The state will bulldoze you, Nessie style- My friend wanted to take me to an art gallery, so we started walking. When we turned the corner, the entire block (galleries, apartments, etc) was demolished. Three homes were left standing; the families refused to move or accept compensation once the developer got/paid for the right permits.

    And this is totally legal, as the concept of property in China is pretty tenuous.

    *****

    Someone in my family used to work a lot in China and told me lots of things about it. He described a really place that was tolerant, diverse and very different from the stereotypes you may get from reading about China in a newspaper. Sadly, I found that a lot of the uncomfortable stories you hear/read are often true.

    The state is repressive and obsessed with raw industrial growth, at the expense of sane urban planning or letting new industries develop that the state can't control (see under: Facebook, YouTube being banned in China). What the state can't control/understand will be regulated or outlawed.

    In Hong Kong I met people who thought deeply about issues of environmentalism, press freedom and international affairs. Shanghai was more like a mineshaft. Maybe the Hong Kong version of China will take the lead, or maybe not. It's hard to think that China's current path is sustainable, but it's also hard to see what will make China stumble and re-assess.

    I came to China expecting to get a new perspective on the place and understand that the "rise" of China would benefit the world. But I left with some really hardcore neo-con views about what it means when an un-democratic, national-chauvinist, repressive state begins to accrue massive current account surpluses. Clearly the US (and to a lesser extent Europe) needs to solve its debt issues before it becomes a debt crisis and the trigger of a loss of influence.

    </Rant on China>

    PS- Is this the kind of "article" you're looking for, Wraith and Loki?

  2. #2
    Do you still think fair trade is a bad idea?
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  3. #3
    China has a different culture. For my standards US does not have enough freedom of speech.
    There is a lot of fascism around when you question how the system should work, as Americans behave like bees in a political hive, but that's just my view. I can't judge US under my own views. US has a different culture.

    Do Americans feel happy with their system? Some do, some do not.

    China has its culture and you should ask chinese if they feel happy with their system.
    You will find some that do and some that do not.
    I have met people from the chinese community in my country, and they do not like the indecency of Americans (pornography and exposure of kids to sex and some sexual habits and practices, for example).
    They have a culture where men and women have a traditional role, and if they feel fine with it, it is up to them.
    They like their traditional family instead of disfunctional family model in US.
    In recent days they dislike the cowboy attitude of US government.

    When I am with chinese, it is easy to offend them, so I try not to.
    Every culture has some shocking elements. But I try to understand their culture through their eyes.
    I think may need to see China through the eyes of chinese people.

    The unwritten political pact betwen politicians and people seemed to be "do not question the government and you will have a job".

    If you want to see misery, go to Mexico. It is right next to US.
    They do not have such a pact. If you want to see crisis and pollution, go there.
    At least I know Mexicans are not very happy nowadays.

    In a way US caused this. American doctrine taught them about being industrialized.
    US still is the biggest pollution center on the planet, so criticizing China would be weird.
    US wanted a strong dollar and Chinese helped there.
    Loss of jobs going overseas to China is caused by US monetary policy.
    And industrialization is caused by US apetite for cheap goods, consumerism and credit.
    If it wasn't for Americans China would have a smaller industry.

    Corruption is an issue, and it is so big that Chinese government issued an ethics code.
    Mexico has such a problem too and instead they do not issue anything.
    Corruption is a cultural thing. Not good, but it will not change unless people start to enforce vigilance.

    I do not pretend to support the chinese, but I offer a view of what I have seen from those who live in my country.
    Last edited by ar81; 03-02-2010 at 02:31 AM.

  4. #4
    Dread, you should post that. Can't say I'm really surprised by any of that. Virtually all the Chinese students I've known have been drinking the CCP Kool-Aid.

  5. #5
    Geez, sounds like a pretty crappy vacation! You and Spawnie should trade notes.

    Years ago my sister followed the silk trail, learned Mandarin first, the whole bit. She loved her exposure to China (granted it wasn't like your trip) especially the rural areas. She didn't like the "sanitation" so much, peeing over a hole in the ground behind a little wall wasn't so easy.

    She went with a co-worker who was from some small village, and was warmly embraced by everyone she met....they'd bend over backward to make her feel at home, gracious hosts, easy to be around.

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Being View Post
    Do you still think fair trade is a bad idea?
    Free trade is fair trade. I'm happy to buy stuff from China. Fiscally, our main problem is overspending on entitlement and the public sector.

    Quote Originally Posted by ar81 View Post
    China has a different culture. For my standards US does not have enough freedom of speech.
    I didn't know Costa Rica was a haven of extreme free expression.

    China has its culture and you should ask chinese if they feel happy with their system.
    I actually thought that a lot. The scary answer is I suspect (based on talking with my friends who live there and their assorted native girlfriends/boyfriends) that many Chinese think that this is the way it has to be. That if they push for certain types of "freedom", they will be weak in the face of things like Earthquakes.

  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
    Free trade is fair trade. I'm happy to buy stuff from China. Fiscally, our main problem is overspending on entitlement and the public sector.
    Did you by any chance read the stuff in your opening post?
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
    I didn't know Costa Rica was a haven of extreme free expression.
    Except for the old AtariCC I have been banned in many US forums for saying things that question the system.
    Americans seemed to feel offended.
    For example, in september 2008 I said unemployment would become a problem and challenged those by saying "who's patriot" in terms of the dilemma that hiring cheap workers vs losing competitiveness means. I was labeled as "socialist" back then and I got warnings for "country bashing", "trolling", "flamebaiting". Fascism in the land of "freedom". Who is the socialist nowadays? I was quite disappointed on US. People did not embrace constructive criticism.

    And when I talk and question how Costa Rica works, it is seen as something very natural and positive in the sense that it seems a pragmatic view and constructive criticism. In US ideology is too strong, and therefore going against certain stupid beliefs is offensive. I can tell by my own experience. So from my view, Costa Rica has more freedom of speech and this forum has far more freedom than the average US forum.

    It matches what journalists think about Costa Rica.

    Observatorio iberoamericano de libertad de prensa

    Costa Rica is the safest american country to be journalist, according to Reporteros Sin Fronteras. (...) According to RSF it is above UK, Australia, France or Spain.
    Reporteros sin Fronteras publica la Primera clasificación mundial de la libertad de prensa

    Some surprises for western democracies: USA is below Costa Rica, and Italy below Benin
    Last edited by ar81; 03-02-2010 at 03:00 AM.

  9. #9
    I didn't realize the US government controls all the forums in the US, Alpha. Thanks for letting us know.
    Hope is the denial of reality

  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    I didn't realize the US government controls all the forums in the US, Alpha. Thanks for letting us know.
    Where did he say it was government?
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  11. #11
    He said America was lacking in freedom of speech. The government is the one that grants or takes away that right. Can you just stop trolling for once? Or do you enjoy not being taken seriously?
    Hope is the denial of reality

  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
    1) Pollution is a huge problem in the cities- You've read about it, but it's seriously really fucking bad.
    Would US companies be more competative if our laws still allowed this? You act like the pollution repulses you but in reallity it's just a minor inconvenience since you don't have to live there and you (while one of the lucky 80% still employed) benefit from the cost advantage. You suck.
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    He said America was lacking in freedom of speech. The government is the one that grants or takes away that right. Can you just stop trolling for once? Or do you enjoy not being taken seriously?
    Freedom of speech goes beyond government scope.
    I did not say that US was below CR. It was an international organization of journalists.

  14. #14
    Really? Pray tell what happens in America to people who say things against the American political system, like the Tea Party people for example. They're being harassed by the police and put in jail, right? Have you considered the remote possibility that the reason people ignore you is because you say stupid things, not because you're telling them an inconvenient truth?
    Hope is the denial of reality

  15. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    He said America was lacking in freedom of speech. The government is the one that grants or takes away that right. Can you just stop trolling for once? Or do you enjoy not being taken seriously?
    Can you stop being an asshole? Forums are not run by the government so the limitation on speech he was referring to came from individuals who think they act in a patriotic fashion by curtailing any speech they see as derogatory.
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  16. #16
    Quote Originally Posted by Being View Post
    Can you stop being an asshole? Forums are not run by the government so the limitation on speech he was referring to came from individuals who think they act in a patriotic fashion by curtailing any speech they see as derogatory.
    That's exactly the kind of emotional response you get from Americans: Loki's response.
    You tell Americans they lack freedom and they will get emotional.
    Tell them their system is not the best and they will try to silence or discredit you, like Loki does.
    I seem to see a rerun of past forum experiences elsewhere.

    This is the kind of belief that keeps US in crisis.
    Unfortunately, beliefs caused US crisis, which means that to get out of the crisis Americans will need to go against their beliefs.

    Now, if Loki did not like to have freedom being compared, how about corruption?

    Corruption threatens soul and fabric of U.S.: FBI | Reuters

    Addressing businessmen in Florida, where financial fraud cases jumped by 42 percent in the last year, FBI Miami Division Special Agent in Charge John Gillies said failures in personal ethics and integrity sowed the initial poisonous seeds of corruption in a society. (...) Gillies, a 27-year veteran of the FBI, called corruption in all its multiple forms, whether in law enforcement or in the judicial system, or involving tax cheats and fraudsters, "our number one criminal threat" in the United States.
    Curiously you do not use to see such news in US press. Al criticism is aimed at China's corruption.
    It reminds me Nicaraguan leader Arnoldo Aleman who used to create conflict with Costa Rica so people did not realize about the problems inside Nicaragua.

    Or how about US education?

    Intel cites US education 'crisis'

    The chairman of the world's biggest computer chipmaker has said the US "education system is in crisis and failing the youth of today".
    Or how about "the American dream"?

    The end of the American dream?

    So far, though, little of that growth has translated into the hands of the average worker, according to new research from the Economic Policy Institute (EPI).
    Is this an "inconvenient truth" for you Loki?

    What you see between US and China is a competition, rivalry, so I may expect propaganda in every side.
    Will this competitoion be peaceful? Or will it be like US vs Japan?
    Last edited by ar81; 03-02-2010 at 03:37 AM.

  17. #17
    How you two survived as long as you did is beyond me.

  18. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by Being View Post
    Would US companies be more competative if our laws still allowed this? You act like the pollution repulses you but in reallity it's just a minor inconvenience since you don't have to live there and you (while one of the lucky 80% still employed) benefit from the cost advantage. You suck.
    This of course occurred to me a lot -- that I was just breathing the fruits of the products I buy.

    Except it's really not that simple. It's not as if the US doesn't have a large industrial base. And we have a lot of industrial history behind us. Yet we haven't utterly destroyed the environment like they have.

    US companies could maybe be more competitive in the short term without pollution laws, but our ability to be a productive healthy society would clearly be impacted. The reason I bring up the pollution I saw in China is to point out that it's not sustainable -- the short-term cost advantage will catch up with them. In fact, in many ways it already has.

  19. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    Really? Pray tell what happens in America to people who say things against the American political system, like the Tea Party people for example. They're being harassed by the police and put in jail, right? Have you considered the remote possibility that the reason people ignore you is because you say stupid things, not because you're telling them an inconvenient truth?
    You're from Georgia, right?
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  20. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
    This of course occurred to me a lot -- that I was just breathing the fruits of the products I buy.

    Except it's really not that simple. It's not as if the US doesn't have a large industrial base. And we have a lot of industrial history behind us. Yet we haven't utterly destroyed the environment like they have.

    US companies could maybe be more competitive in the short term without pollution laws, but our ability to be a productive healthy society would clearly be impacted. The reason I bring up the pollution I saw in China is to point out that it's not sustainable -- the short-term cost advantage will catch up with them. In fact, in many ways it already has.
    China is now more capitalist than US.
    US looks now more like a planetary speculation center, instead of a capitalist nation.
    If US was capitalist it would let failed companies to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by Being View Post
    You're from Georgia, right?
    Yes. He pretends to be an American patriot, probably he has political interests inside the local branch of a party.
    And he supported the war and he put plenty of excuses not to enroll to serve in Iraq.
    And just like the others, he is very opinionated.
    Last edited by ar81; 03-02-2010 at 03:55 AM.

  21. #21
    Quote Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
    This of course occurred to me a lot -- that I was just breathing the fruits of the products I buy.

    Except it's really not that simple. It's not as if the US doesn't have a large industrial base. And we have a lot of industrial history behind us. Yet we haven't utterly destroyed the environment like they have.

    US companies could maybe be more competitive in the short term without pollution laws, but our ability to be a productive healthy society would clearly be impacted. The reason I bring up the pollution I saw in China is to point out that it's not sustainable -- the short-term cost advantage will catch up with them. In fact, in many ways it already has.
    Yet you're fine living with the cost advantage as long as you have a job.
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  22. #22
    Quote Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
    This of course occurred to me a lot -- that I was just breathing the fruits of the products I buy.

    Except it's really not that simple. It's not as if the US doesn't have a large industrial base. And we have a lot of industrial history behind us. Yet we haven't utterly destroyed the environment like they have.

    US companies could maybe be more competitive in the short term without pollution laws, but our ability to be a productive healthy society would clearly be impacted. The reason I bring up the pollution I saw in China is to point out that it's not sustainable -- the short-term cost advantage will catch up with them. In fact, in many ways it already has.
    Or to put it another way, Chinese firms don't have to pay for negative externalities due to a lack of property rights. In a country with property rights and an independent judiciary, these kind of companies would be sued up to their eyeballs, and the costs of continuing their behavior would be far too high. It's not a coincidence that countries with the worst health conditions are not those with the least government, but rather those with the most. The latter nearly always makes the government immune from public retaliation and thereby to massive corruption.
    Hope is the denial of reality

  23. #23
    Quote Originally Posted by Loki View Post
    Or to put it another way, Chinese firms don't have to pay for negative externalities due to a lack of property rights. In a country with property rights and an independent judiciary, these kind of companies would be sued up to their eyeballs, and the costs of continuing their behavior would be far too high. It's not a coincidence that countries with the worst health conditions are not those with the least government, but rather those with the most. The latter nearly always makes the government immune from public retaliation and thereby to massive corruption.
    And America's positive externalities is cheap stuff for those still employed. Oh my fucking god, we Americans are financing the pollution of China. Can we legislate against the pollution of China in the fashion we have against the pollution of the US?
    Last edited by Being; 03-02-2010 at 04:12 AM.
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  24. #24
    Quote Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
    Except it's really not that simple. It's not as if the US doesn't have a large industrial base. And we have a lot of industrial history behind us. Yet we haven't utterly destroyed the environment like they have.
    Ever hear of superfund? God, you kids have a lot to learn.
    Faith is Hope (see Loki's sig for details)
    If hindsight is 20-20, why is it so often ignored?

  25. #25

  26. #26
    Ceterum autem censeo, China esse delendam?
    In the future, the Berlin wall will be a mile high, and made of steel. You too will be made to crawl, to lick children's blood from jackboots. There will be no creativity, only productivity. Instead of love there will be fear and distrust, instead of surrender there will be submission. Contact will be replaced with isolation, and joy with shame. Hope will cease to exist as a concept. The Earth will be covered with steel and concrete. There will be an electronic policeman in every head. Your children will be born in chains, live only to serve, and die in anguish and ignorance.
    The universe we observe has precisely the properties we should expect if there is, at bottom, no design, no purpose, no evil, no good, nothing but blind, pitiless indifference.

  27. #27
    Quote Originally Posted by Nessus View Post
    Ceterum autem censeo, China esse delendam?
    There is no money in the budget for this. Especially if you're a euro-liberal.

    Edit: 508 posts already? You must be quoting Cicero every day!
    Last edited by agamemnus; 03-02-2010 at 04:51 AM.

  28. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by Being View Post
    Ever hear of superfund? God, you kids have a lot to learn.
    Of course. But in China, they have more potential superfund sites and they happen to be next to the water supply. And suggesting that a specific area is over-polluted is liable to get you imprisoned.

    I wouldn't be harping on the pollution if it wasn't a really big deal there.

  29. #29
    @Dreadnaught:
    The day when US becomes an example of 100% clean industry, then US can talk about not polluting.
    The day when US becomes an example of 100% no corruption, then US can talk about corruption.
    The day when US becomes an example of 100% freedom, then you can talk about freedom.
    So my suggestion is to work on US, instead of caring about what China does.
    China is another country and just like Americans would not like another country to impose anything in US, China may not like to have anything imposed. "China must be controlled" sounds really weird... I'd say China should control itself.
    Cowboy diplomacy is unlikely to work on China.

    @Loki: Do not worry, we all love you..

  30. #30
    FFS AR81, get off it. No one is perfect. That's why people talk about relative problems. I care about what China does for the same reasons you care about what the US does.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •