You do know how academia works, right? It's called specialization. Very narrow specialization. This is very, very far from my area. I'm sure there are comparativists who do work in this area.
Hope is the denial of reality
Ha, no Political Scientist or International Relations "expert" wants to say how/why Trump became the presumptive (R) nominee. How convenient.
You understand that systems are not the same as specific samples, right?
Wait, you're GGT. Of course you don't. You look at a dead patient in a hospital which implemented a rigorous checklist regime and demand to know why it was still possible for someone to die if the hospital used checklists.
Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"
The problem there is that the people supporting Trump et al. are actually relatively well off. Last I checked, the average income of Trump supporters was $70k. The main predictors for supporting Trump are authoritarian personalities and racism/xenophobia (which presumably preexisted Trump). Most of his supporters don't have a college education, but have fairly solid salaries for those without those degrees. His supporters are no more likely than Hillary's to have suffered economically in the last decade.
I would also buy the economic explanation more if we weren't seeing anti-establishment types being as successful in countries with minor economic problems (Britain, US, France) as we are in countries that experienced a complete economic collapse (Greece, Spain).
Yeah, people stick to areas they're knowledgeable about and don't write half-assed papers on topics outside of their specialties. How shameful.
Hope is the denial of reality
Doesn't have to be felt personally, so long as it is visible to them in some way. Classic example of how that can work being the reaction to how Birmingham responded to that civil rights march in 1963. A more recent *and perhaps directly contributing) example would be the Occupy movement
Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"
I've actually been a nursing administrator, in a new hospital, that didn't have procedures in place for the newly deceased. That was something the parent hospital hadn't planned for....and we were putting dead bodies in a refrigerated container (in the parking lot) until coordination plans could be made with the county coroner and/or a funeral parlor.
So don't lecture me about dead people and political processes from your hypothetical sofa.
The problem is that it's visible to everyone, and yet only specific people are using that experience to support racist anti-establishment types. The south, for instance, hasn't been doing too poorly recently, and yet support for Trump here is pretty damn high. It's also unclear why uneducated middle aged white men would take that experience to heart more than minorities, women, or the youth. It doesn't help that a lot of factors associated with support for Trump et al. are strongly correlated with each other, so who knows what causes what.
Hope is the denial of reality
I know you've been a nursing administrator, it's why I chose the example I did (plus I think I recall you making just that sort of comment to Minx once, when she was talking about something similar)
But I will GLADLY refrain from lecturing you about things like that from my hypothetical sofa if you'd extend the rest of us a similar courtesy. That would probably require you to just stop posting altogether though, so I guess we're both out of luck.
Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"
Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"
Armchair analysis here but I think the internet has made it so much more painfully obvious how pathetically mismanaged and corrupt government actually is. In the last 20 years the traditional outlet for news and information has had their biases made plain. People don't trust government, people don't trust media and people don't trust academia. Lack of trust creates anti-establishment views. Trump would likely not have been as successful if the Republicans had stood their ground. With majorities in the House and Senate they had full control to stop the funding of Obama care. Would it have led to a government shutdown and a scary high stakes game of chicken? Yes it would, but they could have done it. IF they had done so than both Cruz and Trump would not have been as successful.
That being said this isn't the only time we've had anti-establishment movements. Everyone likes to think their generation is unique or more unique than other times. Civil War, WW2, American Revolution were all far more tumultuous times. This current era actually has far less changes to society than most, and those that are occurring are almost fully driven by technology.
You're ignoring the part where people have gone from somewhat biased sources to insanely biased ones (Breitbart, redstate, Limbaugh, Fox News, MSNBC). So the quality of information available to most partisans is piss-poor. But you might be partly right in that access to this terrible information might have created a truly warped idea of what the US government is like in the eyes of many people.
Incidentally, Democrats had 57 Senate seats in 2009, and 257 House ones. Once the plan was in action, Obama benefited from the status quo.
Hope is the denial of reality
What they've gone is from biased news that masqueraded itself as unbiased news to biased news that doesn't pretend to be unbiased (for the most part). As much as Fox News claims Fair and Balanced (and in fairness they often try to get liberals onto the show) no one actually thinks O'reilly , Hannity etc aren't obviously conservative.
Except most people today only watch those hyper-biased sources and assuming they're hearing the Gospel, particularly when it comes to attacks against the other side. 2/5 of Republicans believing that Obama is a Muslim didn't arise in a vacuum.
Hope is the denial of reality
Projected cost of Trump: 10 million jobs and $1.5 trillion GDP per year.
https://www.economy.com/mark-zandi/d...c-Policies.pdf
Hope is the denial of reality
And I don't know a single person in Georgia who supports Trump, and yet he got 50% of the Republican vote.
Hope is the denial of reality
Do you know people in Georgia? I talk with a variety of folks about politics ranging from people who like Trump, people who like Sanders, people who like Cruz (no surprise this is home state) and people who don't vote. None of them have ever stated they think Obama is a secret Muslim. I sometimes think partisan individuals will always pick the answer that makes their political opponent look bad. IE the 'Obama is a Muslim' would probably get similar results from the same people if they instead asked "Is Obama a criminal?" "Was Obama born out of this country?" "Was Obama against killing Osama Bin Laden?" (The irony should be clear here.) It doesn't matter what the question is and it doesn't matter the response - people can lie to pollsters.
Well, I live in Georgia, so I would think so. But just like you, my list of acquaintances isn't randomly distributed among the population. The College Republicans were split between Paul, Cruz, and Rubio.
Hope is the denial of reality
It would be funny to see whether Republicans think calling someone a Muslim is as bad as calling them a criminal.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
How it was done:
"In a field where an overlooked bug could cost millions, you want people who will speak their minds, even if they’re sometimes obnoxious about it."
Keep on keepin' the beat alive!
For anyone worrying about a Trump victory: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...eems-heres-why.
Hope is the denial of reality
I've heard that Scottish people only insult those they like
Keep on keepin' the beat alive!
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/27/wo...democracy.htmlA relatively new body of social science research portrays a group of “authoritarians” who are dispersed across demographics but desire conformity, order and social norms. These can be “activated,” as the scholars describe it, when they feel threatened by social change, and then will seek harsh, punitive policies that target outsiders and restore the status quo.
Seems spot on, in both the US and UK.
Hope is the denial of reality