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Thread: Geopolitical impact of Brexit

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  1. #1
    Well Frankurt is already insisting on giving London a good deal. This could very well turn out in a Germany vs France problem.
    "Wer Visionen hat, sollte zum Arzt gehen." - Helmut Schmidt

  2. #2
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    Quote Originally Posted by earthJoker View Post
    Well Frankurt is already insisting on giving London a good deal. This could very well turn out in a Germany vs France problem.
    As such that doesn't even make sense. What are you talking about.
    Congratulations America

  3. #3
    Frankfurt Pushes for U.K. to Access Single Market in Financial Services
    U.K. access in financial services would bring benefits after the Brexit vote, says Frankfurt Main Finance

    FRANKFURT—Frankfurt will push for the U.K. to be allowed the maximum possible access to the single market in financial services following the country’s vote to quit the European Union, even as it hopes to attract jobs from a Brexit fallout.

    Frankfurt officials said that while U.K. cannot be given unconditional access to the single market, it will benefit Frankfurt to see London maintain its status as global heavyweight located in the region.
    (...)
    The French government has insisted U.K. financial services would lose single-market access if the British government refuses to play by the rules of the EU. Frankfurt will press policy makers in Berlin and Brussels to grant the U.K. the maximum access possible, conditional on what trade agreement London reaches.

    “We clearly disagree with any sort of punishment,” Mr. Väth said.
    http://www.wsj.com/articles/frankfur...ket-1468250684
    "Wer Visionen hat, sollte zum Arzt gehen." - Helmut Schmidt

  4. #4
    That is quite literally the exact same position almost everyone has had since forever. Conditional access. Follow ze rules.
    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  5. #5
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    I am pretty certain that Frankfurt has no say in the future role of London. I can imagine why you would want to keep Geman banking the cosy clique it is today but even without punishment there are morcels to be had too juicy to say no to them.
    Congratulations America

  6. #6
    Merkel will hear the call from Frankfurt, so far she always had.
    "Wer Visionen hat, sollte zum Arzt gehen." - Helmut Schmidt

  7. #7
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    The call is for Frankfurt to be a secundairy center, that's going to convince the French of exactly what?

    The main reason I can see for this 'demand' is that Frankfurt is making a last ditch effort to avoid full a blown bank union.
    Congratulations America

  8. #8
    For good reason, they've not lost all leave of their senses.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  9. #9
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    Not having a bank union actually has prolongued the financial crisis in Europe.
    Congratulations America

  10. #10
    Who cares about "in Europe"?

    We were talking about the Germans, are they suffering more or less of a crisis by not having a bank union?

    The crisis "in Europe" could have been addressed years ago if massive fiscal transfers were put in place from Germany, Netherlands etc to Greece, Spain etc - but the Germans haven't been willing to agree to that.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Who cares about "in Europe"?

    We were talking about the Germans, are they suffering more or less of a crisis by not having a bank union?

    The crisis "in Europe" could have been addressed years ago if massive fiscal transfers were put in place from Germany, Netherlands etc to Greece, Spain etc - but the Germans haven't been willing to agree to that.
    Actually, I don't feel like it's worth my while to discuss this with a Brexiteer.
    Congratulations America

  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    The crisis "in Europe" could have been addressed years ago if massive fiscal transfers were put in place from Germany, Netherlands etc to Greece, Spain etc - but the Germans haven't been willing to agree to that.
    So what exactly is Draghi doing?
    "Wer Visionen hat, sollte zum Arzt gehen." - Helmut Schmidt

  13. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by earthJoker View Post
    So what exactly is Draghi doing?
    He's filling in as the politicians put off the hard decisions.
    Congratulations America

  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by earthJoker View Post
    So what exactly is Draghi doing?
    Trying to keep the plates spinning but can't unilaterally make decisions. Someone else here may not want to discuss an uncomforable truth I'm shining a light on but Germans like Schauble are abundantly clear - he is not willing to write a blank cheque "for Europe" and why should he?
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  15. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Trying to keep the plates spinning but can't unilaterally make decisions. Someone else here may not want to discuss an uncomforable truth I'm shining a light on but Germans like Schauble are abundantly clear - he is not willing to write a blank cheque "for Europe" and why should he?
    Correction; some things I don't discuss with you. Because you're 'out' and thus your opinions are not very relevant. No need to get worked up about them then.
    Congratulations America

  16. #16
    Let sleeping tigers lie Khendraja'aro's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Trying to keep the plates spinning but can't unilaterally make decisions. Someone else here may not want to discuss an uncomforable truth I'm shining a light on but Germans like Schauble are abundantly clear - he is not willing to write a blank cheque "for Europe" and why should he?
    Schäuble also said: "Out is out." That's also an "uncomfortable truth" you don't want to hear.
    When the stars threw down their spears
    And watered heaven with their tears:
    Did he smile his work to see?
    Did he who made the lamb make thee?

  17. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Trying to keep the plates spinning but can't unilaterally make decisions. Someone else here may not want to discuss an uncomforable truth I'm shining a light on but Germans like Schauble are abundantly clear - he is not willing to write a blank cheque "for Europe" and why should he?
    Draghi wrote a blank cheque ("Whatever it takes"). And Germany is paying for it.
    "Wer Visionen hat, sollte zum Arzt gehen." - Helmut Schmidt

  18. #18
    I respect Schauble and heard that clearly. He's entering negotiations at his strongest starting point for his nation, just as he always does and just as we need to too. Everyone can learn lessons from Schauble.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  19. #19
    As begrudgingly and slowly as possible.

    A rapid set of fiscal transfers and banking union could have ended the crisis (for now) already but as much as that would be good "for Europe", Schauble isn't off his rocker so it hasn't happened.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  20. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    A rapid set of fiscal transfers and banking union could have ended the crisis (for now) already but as much as that would be good "for Europe", Schauble isn't off his rocker so it hasn't happened.
    A bigger, faster kick would just have moved the rock further down the road. It wouldn't have solved anything.
    "Wer Visionen hat, sollte zum Arzt gehen." - Helmut Schmidt

  21. #21
    Hence "(for now)"
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  22. #22
    To end something for now is actually an oxymoron now that I think about it.

    It's the Jesus version of dying: "Well guys, I am dying (for now)".
    "Wer Visionen hat, sollte zum Arzt gehen." - Helmut Schmidt

  23. #23
    Or its a recognition that life goes on and we don't have final solutions.Any problem solved can always return years later, the difference is that for a few years the problem would have been over rather than ongoing but in the background.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  24. #24
    Senior Member Flixy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Or its a recognition that life goes on and we don't have final solutions.
    It's been attempted in Europe, I don't think that was a good idea
    Keep on keepin' the beat alive!

  25. #25
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Or its a recognition that life goes on and we don't have final solutions.Any problem solved can always return years later, the difference is that for a few years the problem would have been over rather than ongoing but in the background.
    The problem is not really gone if you fighting the symptoms. You can live with it, but it isn't solved.

    What you suggest is not a solution, just a larger dose of Aspirin.
    "Wer Visionen hat, sollte zum Arzt gehen." - Helmut Schmidt

  26. #26
    Not sure how significant this is from our new Chancellor of the Exchequer "we are leaving the Single Market now it is about negotiating access". Not sure if that rules out EEA or if he views the EEA as negotiating access.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  27. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Not sure how significant this is from our new Chancellor of the Exchequer "we are leaving the Single Market now it is about negotiating access". Not sure if that rules out EEA or if he views the EEA as negotiating access.
    It means the same as Brexit is Brexit. But it also means he is basically in favor of a quick article 50 process.

    Longterm it's the smart approach.
    Congratulations America

  28. #28
    Brexit is Brexit was meaningless fluff to put the kibosh on any suggestions that as a Remainer May would reneg on the referendum result as it is legally advisory only.

    It has no deeper meaning.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  29. #29
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    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Brexit is Brexit was meaningless fluff to put the kibosh on any suggestions that as a Remainer May would reneg on the referendum result as it is legally advisory only.

    It has no deeper meaning.
    Of course it has meaning, but I don't think she's stupid enough to make it mean anything specific. I noticed she said there would be no attempt to take you back into the EU through the backdoor. That is probably a very good idea, it also means that you could get back through the front entrance. Changed circumstances, General Election Platforms and all that.
    Congratulations America

  30. #30
    Of course that is always an option. No government can bind it's successors. That is part of the point of Parliamentary Democracy.

    A General Election platform could consist of bringing back hanging, unilateral nuclear disarmament or any other crazy nonsense this government won't do.

    What do you think the odds are that a British government both could be elected on that platform and convince all 27 members to swiftly and easily let us back in?
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

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