Or when none of that happens in the real world you may finally get it.
Or when none of that happens in the real world you may finally get it.
Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer
Dude, the traffic jams at the border are pretty much an inevitability. Only a complete and utter moron wouldn't grasp that.
When the stars threw down their spears
And watered heaven with their tears:
Did he smile his work to see?
Did he who made the lamb make thee?
Traffic jams are a fact of life like death and taxes yeah. By none of that I meant the stuff in your most recent post that as 'economy crashes the line of trucks both in and out of the country will diminish rapidly in size'.
I was referring to the time after av backlog forms. The conclusion is nevertheless that backlogs aren't just a time related problem in this case.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
Sure it is. If extra people need to be hired and trained that too is a matter of time.
There's a big difference between that and the fictitious and entirely false claims of Hazir earlier that it was impossible to trade due to a lack of certification.
No, it is a matter of money, availability of personnel resources, capacity of infrastructure such as holding areas etc. No money has been allocated, no training can be undertaken because you don't know what to train people for, no land has been purchased for holding areas for lorries, no investments have been made to sufficiently scale up stocking of components and so on. This is not simply a matter of time.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
Meanwhile back in the real world away from the fictitious impending doom and gloom you guys imagine private sector investment in manufacturing in the UK is at record highs.
All figures are inflation-adjusted current prices, see Table 4: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/gross...dustryandasset
Private sector manufacturing investment in current prices
1997 £24.795bn
1998 £25.43bn
1999 £24.815bn
2000 £24.061bn
2001 £21.12bn
2002 £19.077bn
2003 £18.078bn
2004 £17.573bn
2005 £18.751bn
2006 £19.032bn
2007 £20.381bn
2008 £20.742bn
2009 £16.674bn
2010 £17.055bn
2011 £19.411bn
2012 £20.651bn
2013 £21.237bn
2014 £23.78bn
2015 £25.359bn
2016 £24.522bn
2017 £26.851bn
For 2018Q1 it is £6.863bn, which is the highest Q1 figure on record.
Since people keep banging on about cars and planes its worth noting that investment in "Engineering and vehicles" manufacturing is ditto at a record high with 2017 being the highest on record and 2018Q1 the highest on record.
But yeah we have impending doom and gloom
Very little in the way of recently decided investments, and all investments predicated on continued frictionless trade.
Last edited by Aimless; 06-27-2018 at 09:10 AM.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
2 years after the ballot we have a record high but there's "very little in the way of recently decided investments"? Sure ...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...source=twitter
Of course the requirement for a deal doesn't just go one way. EU firms are exposed to £29 trillion of derivatives next March.
Makes some trucks at the border look a bit puny in comparison.
What you don't understand: For the EU you're a sideshow. An annoyance. A buzzing fly we'll swat when we finally get around to it.
In the grand scheme of things, you. do. not. matter.
You do not seem to realize that you're this close to pissing off the people who matter completely because of your ineptitude.
Get your house in order. Time is running out for you.
When the stars threw down their spears
And watered heaven with their tears:
Did he smile his work to see?
Did he who made the lamb make thee?
That is harsh, but true.
Congratulations America
Yes. ONS's approach to estimating GFCF involves counting assets used in production for at least one year. Businesses and govt. typically make decisions on substantial investments into tangible fixed assets a year or so in advance (eg. building a new manufacturing facility, making a large purchase of expensive and sophisticated equipment, etc). Over the course of the post-ref negotiations, businesses have repeatedly been led to believe that the outcome will be a soft Brexit, especially early on (see surveys of business leaders' expectations). What the ONS is reporting are the results of business leaders' hopes of a soft Brexit a year ago. Meanwhile, overall business growth in Q1 2018 is estimated by the ONS to be -0.2% compared to the previous quarter. Observing that the numbers are at a "record high" here is as meaningless as your daft remarks about record-setting levels of staffing for the NHS. Put into context, these claims are unimpressive.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
Thought you'd like this Hazir
Twitter Link
Well, it's about the effort your government's proposals merit.
I wonder what a no deal is going to look like, it should be fun. Because unlike what Breximaniacs think a no deal of course isn't a deal to make things go smoother. I just means the the door slamming shut and hitting your asses hard.
Congratulations America
Indeed it will be up to us and our £40 billion we walk away with to make things go smoother.
You don't really understand how this all works, do you?
I'll repeat myself: Get back into your pub and stay there. Better for everyone involved.
When the stars threw down their spears
And watered heaven with their tears:
Did he smile his work to see?
Did he who made the lamb make thee?
Since you're just a troll it seems you get back to under your bridge and stay there.
£40 billion wouldn't make things go particularly smooth, even if it actually were worth £40 billion in today's money after a no-deal hard Brexit.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
https://www.politico.eu/article/us-r...de-woes-deepen
Good article about a development that is entirely in line with what was expected wrt quotas since before the referendum. Meanwhile, AIG has announced that it'll move its EU business from the UK to the EU. With friends like these, who needs enemies?Washington’s slap-down of Britain is the second big trade reality check for May in less than a fortnight. Only last week, the U.K.’s increasingly fragile position in trade disputes was exposed by the country’s inability to prevent new, ultra-high tariffs from the U.S. that could hit thousands of jobs in a plane factory in Northern Ireland.
In a fast-developing second trade spat, Washington has teamed up with Brazil, Argentina, Canada, New Zealand, Uruguay and Thailand to reject Britain’s proposed import arrangements for crucial agricultural goods such as meat, sugar and grains after Brexit. The fact that the U.K.’s opponents include the U.S., Canada and New Zealand is a significant setback because Britain is trying to style its former colonies as natural strategic and commercial allies after it has quit the EU.
“We cannot accept such an agreement,” reads the letter, seen by POLITICO. The seven countries dispute the legal defense that the proposed post-Brexit arrangement would leave them “no worse off.”
Delicate balance
The countries were particularly aggrieved that they had not been consulted and stressed that no calculation of Britain’s tariff-rate quotas could be agreed at the WTO “without our agreement.”
Indeed, the countries suggested Britain and the EU might need to rework the whole system of import tariffs and could not just shuffle quotas between each other, without disturbing “the delicate balance of concessions and entitlements that is fundamental to the global trade architecture today.”
“The modification of these tariff rate quota access arrangements cannot credibly be achieved through a technical rectification. None of these arrangements should be modified without our agreement.”
The big food exporters argue that two fixed quotas — a U.K. quota and an EU27 quota — make markets less easy to sell to than one big quota.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
Why are you posting an article from April last year?
Because the EU and the UK are now going to move forward with this plan despite the strong opposition that still remains and which is described in detail in the article (and which was predicted by critics of Brexit before the referendum).
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
Why not post a modern article then if its proceeding?
Because I have not found any detailed recent articles laying out the issues clearly. I expect they'll start popping up again once the negotiations with the WTO run into problems.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
Article on post-Brexit customs system:
https://news.sky.com/story/amp/post-...ledge-11425358
Thread with summary and context: https://mobile.twitter.com/faisalisl...13847430615040
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
Rest of the thread: https://news.sky.com/story/amp/post-...ledge-11425358
At this point I wouldn't be surprised if ministers proposed to catapult the ring across the border.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
The fun part (which Rand will likely vehemently deny without actually having a clue about what the topic) is that the UK will be under a lot of pressure to implement such a system. Pressure means a rush job.
And rush jobs in software development either mean a buggy mess, budgetary overruns, massive time slippages, essential features left out ... or a random combination of the points I just mentioned.
You do NOT want to rush such a thing.
When the stars threw down their spears
And watered heaven with their tears:
Did he smile his work to see?
Did he who made the lamb make thee?
It's going to suck and take twice as long as expected no matter what, but while most such govt projects are intended to replace or improve a system that's already in place, in this case there will be nothing to keep things going somewhat smoothly until the new system is ready to be implemented. The problems with development will be further exacerbated by the govt's ignorance about what it is they need to order.
On another note, it must be extremely frustrating for SMEs in logistics etc. to have their assessments--of how their business will be impacted in various scenarios--nonchalantly dismissed as fear-mongering, posturing etc.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
I can't be bothered to go through the entire 'accord', but I guess it won't be very long before we find out if this is BRINO or just another pie in the sky plan that isn't acceptable. Difficult to tell with all the newspeak it contains.
Congratulations America
It's another cake proposal.
When the stars threw down their spears
And watered heaven with their tears:
Did he smile his work to see?
Did he who made the lamb make thee?
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