Yes it does. They've recorded immigration at over 600k per annum. Which is 1.4 million since the referendum.
That's nonsense. You're challenging the very basis of survey-based statistics in which case you can't use the survey stats for any other claim - including that net migration is decreasing.What they do is conduct interviews at various ports of entry where they record (among other things) the number of people who intend to stay in or leave the UK for at least a year. Based on a small sample of such interviews they attempt to estimate the real number of people who intend to stay in or leave the UK for that length of time. That means that if I go to the UK with the intention of staying there for over a year, and state this in an interview, but then leave before the year is up, I'll still be counted as a long-term immigrant--there is no follow-up to ensure that I actually stayed for a year.
Except that as I already explained from the maths that simply isn't possible. You'd have had to have been counted entering, leaving, re-entering, re-leaving, re-entering and re-leaving again for a year each time within the last 2 years. As would every other immigrant and emigrant. With zero people actually emigrating.If I instead leave more than a year after the referendum, but before two years, both the ONS and you will still believe that I'm in the UK two years after the referendum. If I'm interviewed as I leave the UK after a year, I might be included in the emigration statistics, but the ONS data will not indicate that the same person who migrated TO the UK is now migrating FROM the UK. For these reasons, you cannot use the ONS immigration data to support your claim about a million new people moving to the UK. The claim might be true, but your data does not support it.
Net immigration of 750k plus a further immigration of 650k can't possibly be less than 1 million unless the statistics are bullshit. In which case don't use them.
Indeed and it has been small. In fact it has been miniscule. All we have seen is a reversion to mean effect after the spike caused by the accession of Romania and the removal of transition controls. In 2016 a record high net migration rate included over 100k Romanians moving here within the year, that was never likely to be maintained. The UK's net migration rate now and EU net migration rate now are still higher than in any year before the accession of Romania.In addition, you forget an important bit of context, which is that the situation for people migrating to the UK from EU27 was very unclear after the referendum, but people had been promised that nothing would change in practice. For all practical purposes, Brexit's impact on EU27 migration should have been expected to be small--at least on people moving due to accepting a long-term job, studies, research, family reasons etc--for months after the ref. as the UK continued to dissemble.
No my reasoning wasn't the census though if you're using the census and polling nature to claim the statistics are useless then stop using them to imply there's a problem.An analogy to this situation is election polling. Taking the recent Swedish election as an example, all major pollsters underestimated the Sweden Democrats' prospects when attempting to forecast the 2014 election. Most people therefore concluded that polls were underestimating their support this time around as well. In reality, those polls who were the closest the last time around--and who predicted the largest gains for SD this election--greatly overestimated SD's share of the votes. If your reasoning re. the census and the ONS data were accurate and generally applicable, SD would've gotten much better results. But your reasoning is neither accurate nor generally applicable, because, just as SD's support is simply difficult to assess either way using current polling methods, EU migration is difficult to assess either way using the ONS's methods.
My reasoning is that the maths shows [if you believe the statistics] that there's well over a million more immigrants here, while if you don't believe the statistics then your claims that they show anything is built on foundations of sand.