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Thread: German Anti-Prosperity Lunacy

  1. #1

    Default German Anti-Prosperity Lunacy

    You know things are bad when Berlin youth become a policy vanguard

    Meanwhile various US states are considering forms of universal rent control. Have people forgotten what it was like to be in a buyer's/renter's market in 2008/9 when there was too much housing supply in many of these housing markets?

    Berlin Housing Backlash Spurs Drive to Nationalize Real Estate

    By Andrew Blackman
    April 13, 2019, 1:00 AM EDT

    In Berlin earlier this month, a blond-haired girl carried a wooden placard as she marched with her parents and thousands of others at a demonstration against soaring rents. Her sign had a stark message: “My future? Sleeping under bridges.”

    The girl’s poignant protest highlights the emotionally charged nature of the housing debate in Germany, and Berlin in particular. In the capital city, where residents have been buffeted by a sudden surge in costs, a movement is gaining momentum for a radical solution: nationalizing big chunks of the housing market.


    Organizers have started collecting signatures for a referendum to push the city to expropriate apartments from large landlords -- companies that own more than 3,000 units like Deutsche Wohnen SE and Vonovia SE. The activists need to collect 20,000 within six months and another 170,000 by February. While pushing the state to buy apartments won’t increase supply, campaigners argue that the measure would send a signal to landlords that they need to play fair or risk losing their assets.

    The final straw for the activists came last year, when Deutsche Wohnen -- already one of the largest landlords in the German capital with about 112,000 properties -- agreed to buy 800 residential and commercial units on Karl Marx Allee, an imposing Stalinist boulevard in the former communist east. Residents fearing rent increases mobilized, and the city sought to block the deal in court.

    The property company -- one of the main winners of Berlin’s housing boom -- has rejected demands to turn over its property.

    “We won’t allow our assets to be expropriated,” Deutsche Wohnen Chief Executive Officer Michael Zahn said during a panel discussion in Berlin this week. “That’s just not going to happen. We’re not living in a banana republic.”

    Still, the chances of the referendum’s success may not be so far-fetched. The German constitution allows for expropriation in the interests of “socialization” in return for adequate compensation. Berlin has a vibrant track record of civic activism, with a 2014 referendum successfully forcing the city to back off plans to sell parts of the former Tempelhof airfield to developers.

    While most mainstream politicians, including Chancellor Angela Merkel and Berlin’s mayor, are against using taxpayer money to buy apartments, there has been tentative support. Robert Habeck -- co-leader of the Greens, the second-strongest party in Germany in recent polls -- has said state housing purchases need to be considered to counter speculation.

    The risk is that such state intervention could scare away investors needed to bolster supply -- the only real long-term solution. The German construction industry association warned that compensation for expropriated owners could run to 36 billion euros ($41 billion), enough money to build over 220,000 rental units on government land.

    “What we really need to do is build, build and build again,” said Stefan Koerzell, a senior official at the German Trade Union Confederation, which supports the referendum. The growing crisis is a “wake-up call” for politicians, he said at a press conference in Berlin.

    Germany has the lowest proportion of home owners in the European Union, and renters are by far in the majority in Berlin. That makes rental costs a political issue. Merkel’s government has taken tentative steps by passing legislation to limit rent increases and pledging to invest more than 6 billion euros in affordable housing.

    But that’s not enough for Berliners, where the growing population has pushed median rents past 10 euros a square meter -- meaning a 1,000-square-foot apartment costs more than $1,100 a month, which would still be a bargain in most other major cities.

    The mounting fears were evident last weekend when over 50,000 people across Germany took to the streets to protest the housing squeeze.

    On a panel with the Deutsche Wohnen CEO, Rouzbeh Taheri -- one of the leaders of the referendum campaign -- said he and other activists were treated like “pesky mosquitoes” by the property company. As public backing grows, he had a warning: “Try spending a night with a thousand mosquitoes and see what happens.”

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...ze-real-estate

  2. #2
    German's like to nationalize things.

  3. #3
    We have a similar housing problem here in Seattle. The main cause is that people start protesting any time someone wants to build more housing somewhere. Presumably it's convenient for the protesters, since it's often just down the road from where they were protesting the high prices that come from a housing shortage.

    edit: Isn't there a lot of pressure to implement rent controls in New York these days, Dread?
    Last edited by Wraith; 05-10-2019 at 02:28 AM.

  4. #4
    Affordable housing is a growing problem pretty much everywhere.

    What stands out is that one RE company can own so much property, and buy even more, creating a monopoly of sorts. Wouldn't it be better to limit how much rental property one corporation (and its subsidiaries) can own in the first place?

  5. #5
    Let sleeping tigers lie Khendraja'aro's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wraith View Post
    We have a similar housing problem here in Seattle. The main cause is that people start protesting any time someone wants to build more housing somewhere. Presumably it's convenient for the protesters, since it's often just down the road from where they were protesting the high prices that come from a housing shortage.

    edit: Isn't there a lot of pressure to implement rent controls in New York these days, Dread?
    "Main cause"? I need some sources for that.

    I'd rather say that it's a very complex issue with no single main cause. Also, please don't forget that building more and more and more and more has some serious environmental issues - because it usually means that formerly green spaces will be sealed up, trees will be felled without being replaced and other issues. What cities need to do is grow vertically instead of horizontally.
    When the stars threw down their spears
    And watered heaven with their tears:
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  6. #6
    You know there's only going to be opinion pieces on that. Fine, the main cause is that demand has increased and supply has not remotely kept up, and there have been a large number of projects cancelled due to protests. Though that dark spectral figure who's been going around stabbing people who force him to speak with overly precise language probably isn't helping attract developers.

    Seattle has sunk beneath the ground twice now, so there are limits on how high it can build. There's still room to grow vertically, but Seattlites take a very NIMBY position on construction and horizontal growth attracts fewer protesters due to being more out of the way.

  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Wraith View Post
    We have a similar housing problem here in Seattle. The main cause is that people start protesting any time someone wants to build more housing somewhere. Presumably it's convenient for the protesters, since it's often just down the road from where they were protesting the high prices that come from a housing shortage.

    edit: Isn't there a lot of pressure to implement rent controls in New York these days, Dread?
    One of my main litmus tests when voting in local elections in the Boston area is whether the candidate is open to more housing supply. Spoiler: very few meet that criterion.
    "When I meet God, I am going to ask him two questions: Why relativity? And why turbulence? I really believe he will have an answer for the first." - Werner Heisenberg (maybe)

  8. #8
    Typically those people who protest or obstruct new construction of affordable rental apartments are not the same people who protest because of the shortage thereof. As a rule, the former also have more effective means of obstructing new construction that they find inconvenient or that they imagine constitutes a risk to the value of their own property.
    “Humanity's greatest advances are not in its discoveries, but in how those discoveries are applied to reduce inequity.”
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  9. #9
    Berlin, by the way, has overall been among the very best of the major European cities wrt. access to truly affordable housing. It's no surprise that Berliners are more leery of developments that appear to reflect the early stages of other cities' by now irreversible descent into total dysfunction or an extremely suboptimal equilibrium.
    “Humanity's greatest advances are not in its discoveries, but in how those discoveries are applied to reduce inequity.”
    — Bill Gates

  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by Aimless View Post
    Typically those people who protest or obstruct new construction of affordable rental apartments are not the same people who protest because of the shortage thereof. As a rule, the former also have more effective means of obstructing new construction that they find inconvenient or that they imagine constitutes a risk to the value of their own property.
    They're obviously not entirely the same groups, but you're underestimating the number of locals who want lower prices for themselves, but don't want to let anyone else in. "We don't want people thinking it's okay to move here" is a real thing said at many protests. The people here are outright and openly hostile to transplants*. It doesn't matter whether they're building affordable apartments or luxury condos, or whether it's on empty land, they're replacing an abandoned building, it's coming with a public park, or whatever - there's always protests. The last couple of years have seen some large developers saying they won't be building in Seattle anymore because of the number of projects that were approved and then un-approved after protests have made it too expensive to build or renovate in the city.

    Mercer Island protests are totally about the land values, though.

    Then there's the protests-as-pastime folks, and probably have the largest concentration of those outside of SoCal.

    *The common advice for people who move into the area is that they should pretend they're only here as a tourist until they've been here long enough to count as a native.

  11. #11
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    Berliners have had cheap housing until unification because it wasn't exactly a place where people wanted to live if they were not intent on evading military service. Once the federal government got serious with making Berlin the capital it was inevitable that people with deeper pockets would be moving in and pick up the most desirable real estate. Cheap Berlin was a fantasy that ended with unification.
    Greece shows us that there is a kind of politician worse than the ones that break their election promises; the ones that keep their election promises.

  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by Khendraja'aro View Post

    I'd rather say that it's a very complex issue with no single main cause. Also, please don't forget that building more and more and more and more has some serious environmental issues - because it usually means that formerly green spaces will be sealed up, trees will be felled without being replaced and other issues. What cities need to do is grow vertically instead of horizontally.
    It is complex and multifactorial. On top of supply/demand there's population density to consider -- and how that impacts infrastructure, schools, utilities, etc.

    Wiki says Berlin's population is over 3.7 million on just 344 square miles of land, roughly 2,600 people per sq mi (if my conversions are correct ). Compared to where I live (not a large US urban city like Seattle or Boston) for context -- we're just under 500,000 people on 900 square miles, about 422 people per sq mi.

    Those are huge differences but we have the same problems: population growing every year and not enough housing. Especially "affordable" housing. Berlin has a pretty low home ownership rate, and high rate of renters. My city is the opposite. After the housing bubble burst, many home owners became rental landlords, but there was still a great need for more apartments/townhouses to be built.

    Big backlash from property owners (ie property tax payers). Protests at town hall meetings similar to what Wraith described. But it wasn't just that rental units would decrease home values -- while also increasing taxes to pay for updating roads, sewer, building more schools, etc. -- or that high rises would look like "public housing". No, it got ugly on the cultural side of things. We don't want to attract low-income people! We don't want our kids going to school with people migrating from bigger cities, or immigrants who can't speak English.

    As our rural/farmland shrinks, the 'locals' resist zoning changes for multi-use or multi-family housing, better land management in general. It's a shame, and embarrassing to admit, but there's a racist component to their objections.

  13. #13
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    You seriously can't compare Berlin to a small US city.
    Greece shows us that there is a kind of politician worse than the ones that break their election promises; the ones that keep their election promises.

  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Wraith View Post
    They're obviously not entirely the same groups, but you're underestimating the number of locals who want lower prices for themselves, but don't want to let anyone else in. "We don't want people thinking it's okay to move here" is a real thing said at many protests. The people here are outright and openly hostile to transplants*. It doesn't matter whether they're building affordable apartments or luxury condos, or whether it's on empty land, they're replacing an abandoned building, it's coming with a public park, or whatever - there's always protests. The last couple of years have seen some large developers saying they won't be building in Seattle anymore because of the number of projects that were approved and then un-approved after protests have made it too expensive to build or renovate in the city.

    Mercer Island protests are totally about the land values, though.

    Then there's the protests-as-pastime folks, and probably have the largest concentration of those outside of SoCal.

    *The common advice for people who move into the area is that they should pretend they're only here as a tourist until they've been here long enough to count as a native.
    Having moved out to the burbs, that are fast becoming its own city, I've seen it all. I bought a 30 year old house in an established community but the way the city is allowing/allowed construction and expansion without support has gotten insane. I could care less about property values as long as the neighborhood is safe. I view this house as a home, not an investment to profit from. But thats lead to plenty of nextdoor arguments (the most entertaining being when some assholes wanted to bitch about the house that was doanted to an organization that helps women who have escaped human trafficking). In my 6 mile drive to work I pass 11 schools, 6 of which are charter, meaning no buses and gridlock for hours each day. Takes my wife almost an hour to get home and her drive is shorter than mine. The county approved most of the land development in these parts decades ago, and its only now being acted on, and since its already been approved there are no hearings for people to voice their concerns. All the green space is disappearing at an insane rate and no one seems to care. The county plans to reduce our community roadways from 4 to 2 lanes while expanding the surrounding roads to 6 lanes because so much traffic has found its way off the main routes trying to cut their commute down by a minute or two.

    I get that people need places to live, affordable places to live, and thats seriously lacking around here, but the government has completely dropped the ball of being able to prepare for and support all the development they've allowed. I think thats a major part of what causes so much of the anger.
    "In a field where an overlooked bug could cost millions, you want people who will speak their minds, even if they’re sometimes obnoxious about it."

  15. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by Hazir View Post
    You seriously can't compare Berlin to a small US city.
    No, but if you read OG's post maybe you'll see what I was getting at. Anti-prosperity 'lunacy' isn't just for Germans, and Berlin youth aren't the only policy 'vanguards'.

    The US has real problems with affordable housing. Infrastructure, transportation, education, and taxation are integral parts of the mix. But we don't have any comprehensive national plan that's future-oriented. Sprawl is endemic but haphazard. States (and their small towns) act as if they're independent from the US as a whole, when the truth is that we're all connected.

    Florida is good example of that disconnect. It's built on swamp land....and is directly impacted by climate change/rising sea levels. But it keeps attracting people, especially senior citizens looking for an "affordable" retirement. That low cost-of-living is an illusion perpetuated by politicians. Disaster Preparedness is a pesky after-thought, and sustainable land management is a creation of tree-hugging liberal hippies that want to replace Capitalism with Socialism, dontyaknow.

  16. #16
    Forgot to add that with the explosive growth I've noticed that a lot of community stores and food joints have been pushed out in favor of stupid boutique muffin top like places with crazy high prices. I'm talking grilled cheese that's pushing $10. So even if you manage to squeeze in affordable housing the community still ends up outside your budget. Especially for new families. Every street corner lately seems to have a micro brewery on it. It's gotten quite ridiculous.
    Last edited by Ominous Gamer; Yesterday at 02:01 AM.
    "In a field where an overlooked bug could cost millions, you want people who will speak their minds, even if they’re sometimes obnoxious about it."

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