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Thread: covid-19

  1. #2431
    Where's your criticism of the EU's scheme been? Aimless's? Hazir's?

    Its an unmitigated disaster and where is the criticism? Or is it perhaps in your eyes anti-European or taboo to level any criticism?

    When some was shared here from a German paper you attacked the source rather than tackle the issue, you moronic joker.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  2. #2432
    Is the EU to blame or is it individual governments and local authorities?

    And FT article two days ago on this subject said:

    Denmark’s creditable performance, just ahead of the UK on a per capita basis, shows that EU centralised procurement is not responsible for Europe’s faltering start.

    I genuinely don't know. The EU was obviously slower to procure and approve, but my understanding is that in return they got a cheaper price and more liability if things go wrong. That's all done now though, I think, and it's now down to individual nations.

    Interested in other's thoughts.

  3. #2433
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    The Dutch situation wasn't caused by the EU program. It was caused by privacy-fetishism and late changes to national policies.
    Congratulations America

  4. #2434
    If blame is properly laid on individual states and not the EU, it seems to me that just leads to a further question as to why that happens to be the case? While I mostly steer clear of the topic these days, posters on here probably recall I am not a big fan of "ever closer union." But infectious disease response and control strikes me as one field where it's a marvelous idea.
    Last night as I lay in bed, looking up at the stars, I thought, “Where the hell is my ceiling?"

  5. #2435
    Quote Originally Posted by LittleFuzzy View Post
    I am not a big fan of "ever closer union." But infectious disease response and control strikes me as one field where it's a marvelous idea.
    Agreed.

    If there's any area where a unified policy covering a large area/population/many states is beneficial it's in control of an infectious disease.
    Quote Originally Posted by Steely Glint View Post
    It's actually the original French billion, which is bi-million, which is a million to the power of 2. We adopted the word, and then they changed it, presumably as revenge for Crecy and Agincourt, and then the treasonous Americans adopted the new French usage and spread it all over the world. And now we have to use it.

    And that's Why I'm Voting Leave.

  6. #2436
    Quote Originally Posted by gogobongopop View Post
    Is the EU to blame or is it individual governments and local authorities?

    And FT article two days ago on this subject said:

    Denmark’s creditable performance, just ahead of the UK on a per capita basis, shows that EU centralised procurement is not responsible for Europe’s faltering start.

    I genuinely don't know. The EU was obviously slower to procure and approve, but my understanding is that in return they got a cheaper price and more liability if things go wrong. That's all done now though, I think, and it's now down to individual nations.

    Interested in other's thoughts.
    To answer your first question: Yes.

    Yes the EU is to blame and Yes local authorities are to blame too. Two wrongs don't make a right and more than one thing can go wrong.

    The flaws with the EU's procurement programme are many and detailed. Try going through the Tweets of the Portugese reporter I linked to before who has done a lot in covering this recently. Then to add insult to injury many nations have badly rolled out what was actually procured, with the Danes being a notable exception.

    The EU's procurement scheme has been dominated by the worst forms of European nationalism. Pfizer literally offered the EU hundreds of millions of more doses but the French were unhappy at giving so many extra doses to a German company so they were turned down. Instead the first vaccine signed by the EU was the Sanofi vaccine which not only isn't authorised it hasn't even started its Phase III trial yet! 300 million doses signed first to a French company that may begin Phase III trials in a few months time and could potentially be available by the end of 2021 if the EU is lucky at this rate.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  7. #2437
    Quote Originally Posted by LittleFuzzy View Post
    If blame is properly laid on individual states and not the EU, it seems to me that just leads to a further question as to why that happens to be the case? While I mostly steer clear of the topic these days, posters on here probably recall I am not a big fan of "ever closer union." But infectious disease response and control strikes me as one field where it's a marvelous idea.
    Marvellous if a good job is done.

    Terrible if a bad job is done.

    Data sharing should be spread out but slow moving decision making during a pandemic is not a strength. The biggest criticism levelled at our PM for instance is that he's sometimes slow to react - the EU by its very nature and way it has been designed is even slower to react as a bloc.

    Countries that have done well have done so by acting rapidly not by acting as a sclerotic, Byzantine bloc.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  8. #2438
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    OK then if criticism isn't taboo then who has been leading it? If you're saying that criticism isn't taboo but nobody can be bothered to criticise then that's a distinction without a meaningful difference.
    Most of the criticism has come from parties and media in the resp. member states, and has been directed at govts and other authorities in those states, because it is clear that they bear the greatest responsibility for problems.

    The point is that the criticism has been vocal and consistent in the US and UK, with the results to show for it
    I'm pretty sure you're wrong and that the results are mostly due to eating roast turkey on holidays.

    Quote Originally Posted by LittleFuzzy View Post
    If blame is properly laid on individual states and not the EU, it seems to me that just leads to a further question as to why that happens to be the case? While I mostly steer clear of the topic these days, posters on here probably recall I am not a big fan of "ever closer union." But infectious disease response and control strikes me as one field where it's a marvelous idea.
    Quote Originally Posted by Timbuk2 View Post
    Agreed.

    If there's any area where a unified policy covering a large area/population/many states is beneficial it's in control of an infectious disease.
    Disagree in two respects.

    1. It's more or less impossible to unify policy across a bloc consisting of countries that differ greatly wrt institutions, structure & responsibility of healthcare systems, economic features, etc. Policy must be tailored to national and local circumstances.

    2. Policies are inextricably entwined with politics, as they involve often significant restrictions on rights. Politicians at those levels are best suited to engage the public and to make sensitive decisions about tradeoffs.

    The EU can, however, play an important role in coordinating surveillance—and assisting in procurement and distribution of treatments and vaccines, or the distribution of necessary equipment.

    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    The flaws with the EU's procurement programme are many and detailed. Try going through the Tweets of the Portugese reporter I linked to before who has done a lot in covering this recently.
    The Portuguese reporter uncritically retweeted an image containing an error. The Sanofi contract was signed on September 18:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/pres.../en/ip_20_1680

    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  9. #2439
    Had the EU been purchasing Sanofi on top of Pfizer etc then that would be fair enough, but that isn't the case. The EU quite famously rejected Pfizer's offer of half a billion doses of the vaccine last summer (when Pfizer was already in Phase III) and only purchased an initial 200m doses instead as late as November meaning they're getting their stock distributed behind countries that purchased sooner, while instead going ahead with 300m for Sanofi which still isn't in Phase III.

    Yes buying some of everything as it goes into Phase III is a good idea if it is going to be available around now. Rejecting those that are available now in favour of those available at the end of the year is a different matter!

    The EU's supply purchases of both Pfizer and Astrazenica were pro rata both much smaller than the UK's purchases and signed much later and getting delivered much later as a result. The UK, like Israel, ensured it purchased its supplies ASAP for those going into Phase III last summer and the gamble is paying off now. The EU instead waited until November to get around to signing a deal with Pfizer, having signed a deal with Sanofi months sooner.

    It is borderline corrupt and inexcusable. Had Sanofi been on top of sufficient and prompt orders of Pfizer etc then fair enough, but it was not. Sanofi wasn't another egg it was the key egg they signed, despite knowing it wasn't even in Phase III yet and still is not. The EU rushed to sign an agreement with Sanofi that won't even be available for another year potentially, if ever, by which time the pandemic should frankly be over hopefully - while dawdling until November to get off its arse with Pfizer. And ordering a smaller quantity from Pfizer than from Sanofi.

    No wonder the Germans and others have had enough and started signing their own deals with Pfizer because the EU scheme is broken.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  10. #2440
    Some good news.

    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  11. #2441
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Had the EU been purchasing Sanofi on top of Pfizer etc then that would be fair enough, but that isn't the case. The EU quite famously rejected Pfizer's offer of half a billion doses of the vaccine last summer (when Pfizer was already in Phase III) and only purchased an initial 200m doses instead as late as November meaning they're getting their stock distributed behind countries that purchased sooner, while instead going ahead with 300m for Sanofi which still isn't in Phase III.

    Yes buying some of everything as it goes into Phase III is a good idea if it is going to be available around now. Rejecting those that are available now in favour of those available at the end of the year is a different matter!

    The EU's supply purchases of both Pfizer and Astrazenica were pro rata both much smaller than the UK's purchases and signed much later and getting delivered much later as a result. The UK, like Israel, ensured it purchased its supplies ASAP for those going into Phase III last summer and the gamble is paying off now. The EU instead waited until November to get around to signing a deal with Pfizer, having signed a deal with Sanofi months sooner.
    Why are you describing it as a rejection, when it's clear that what actually happened was that they continued negotiating? Talks with Pfizer concluded in early September. Just because a candidate is in phase III doesn't mean that that candidate will pan out—half of all phase III trials fail, and it's difficult to determine whether a completely new technology will pan out.

    It is borderline corrupt and inexcusable.
    Do you... do you know what the word "corrupt" even means?

    Had Sanofi been on top of sufficient and prompt orders of Pfizer etc then fair enough, but it was not. Sanofi wasn't another egg it was the key egg they signed, despite knowing it wasn't even in Phase III yet and still is not. The EU rushed to sign an agreement with Sanofi that won't even be available for another year potentially, if ever, by which time the pandemic should frankly be over hopefully - while dawdling until November to get off its arse with Pfizer. And ordering a smaller quantity from Pfizer than from Sanofi.
    This is the sort of foaming-at-the-mouth rant that would be more appropriate on The Sun's FB page. The fuck do you mean "Sanofi wasn't another egg it was the key egg" you utter egg? The very first contract that was signed was with AZN—for the same amount of initial doses as for Sanofi, with an optional 100m on top of that. Both AZN & Sanofi were offering logistically preferable candidates, one that might be delivered early and one that might be developed later but using a proven technology. The Sanofi contract was negotiated to allow donations of vaccine doses to other countries that might not be able to manage the cold chain requirements of some of the other candidates. There was no plausible case, back in summer, for the view that the pandemic would be over a year later. I'm sorry mate, but you've clearly lost it. Get a grip.
    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  12. #2442
    Definitely (to RBs last post)

    I was offered the vaccine yesterday. My oncologist says I need a two week break from chemo before I should take it, leaving another week before I go again. Cycle 34 is being pumped into me as I type this so I've got to arrange the jab for 1st, 2nd or 3rd Feb. I wasn't able to make that booking yesterday as my local GP surgery is only making appointments 2 days in advance so I need to ring closer to the time. Hoping I can still get it on those days.

    I'm not entirely sure whether my behaviour will change once I've had the vaccine. Certainly I hope my family will relax a little, especially my eldest who has so, so cautious. More cautious than any 11 year should ever have to be.

    I would like to go shopping though. Really miss walking round the supermarket. Might feel brave enough to do that.

    Having cancer and being on chemo during this ordeal really is the highest order of bullshit.
    Last edited by gogobongopop; 01-14-2021 at 02:13 PM.

  13. #2443
    Let's just summarize:

    The UK and US are more successful than the EU wrt vaccination because their governments are subjected to intense criticism from opposition and media, as is the case in those bastions of healthy political dissent and press freedom Bahrain and UAE.

    The jealous French corruptly persuaded the Commission to shaft Pfizer & BioNTech because they didn't want Germans getting a big contract, but they were very happy to let the Commission sign an equally ambitious contract with a British company.

    The EU is to blame for govts and authorities in member states not being able to deploy even the vaccines that they have been awarded.

    Are there any other harebrained ideas you'd like to float or do you think you might want to take a breather and pull yourself together?
    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  14. #2444
    Oh that is good news gogo. I'm guessing you're in Priority Group IV (clinically vulnerable) rather than age-related. Very good news if they're booking appointments for you already. Hope it goes through smoothly for you, and doesn't disrupt your fight against cancer. Best wishes!
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  15. #2445
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    Oh that is good news gogo. I'm guessing you're in Priority Group IV (clinically vulnerable) rather than age-related. Very good news if they're booking appointments for you already. Hope it goes through smoothly for you, and doesn't disrupt your fight against cancer. Best wishes!
    Correct, group 4 - and thanks

  16. #2446
    Quote Originally Posted by gogobongopop View Post
    Definitely (to RBs last post)

    I was offered the vaccine yesterday. My oncologist says I need a two week break from chemo before I should take it, leaving another week before I go again. Cycle 34 is being pumped into me as I type this so I've got to arrange the jab for 1st, 2nd or 3rd Feb. I wasn't able to make that booking yesterday as my local GP surgery is only making appointments 2 days in advance so I need to ring closer to the time. Hoping I can still get it on those days.

    I'm not entirely sure whether my behaviour will change once I've had the vaccine. Certainly I hope my family will relax a little, especially my eldest who has so, so cautious. More cautious than any 11 year should ever have to be.

    I would like to go shopping though. Really miss walking round the supermarket. Might feel brave enough to do that.

    Having cancer and being on chemo during this ordeal really is the highest order of bullshit.
    That is very good news mate, I'm glad the UK has been so effective at getting the vaccine to those who need it most. Hope it goes according to plan and that you and your family can have a more relaxed time together
    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  17. #2447
    Quote Originally Posted by Aimless View Post
    That is very good news mate, I'm glad the UK has been so effective at getting the vaccine to those who need it most. Hope it goes according to plan and that you and your family can have a more relaxed time together
    Tack så mycket herrn

  18. #2448
    Senior Member Flixy's Avatar
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    Aside from my government fucking up vaccinations, there's also good news: positive cases are still consistently dropping fora while now, and by now hospital occupancy is also dropping ICU occupancy is not dropping a lot yet but has stagnated, which is also good news. Still high, but well below the peak from the first wave and capacity.

    Also had my first test last weekend (was negative), wasn't comfortable but after the stories I heard less bad than expected. Whole proces from making an appointment to getting results was very smooth.

    Edit: good news Gogo, hope you can make that appointment when you can get the shot.
    Keep on keepin' the beat alive!

  19. #2449
    UK vaccinations

    11/01 166,474
    12/01 223,726
    13/01 288,688

    England vaccinations

    11/01 140,441
    12/01 187,645
    13/01 248,177

    Northern Ireland vaccinations

    11/01 7,521
    12/01 9,782
    13/01 12,454

    Scotland vaccinations

    11/01 12,664
    12/01 16,156
    13/01 16,442

    Wales vaccinations

    11/01 5,218
    12/01 10,143
    13/01 11,615

    Looking on course for the first four groups to be done by 15/2 so long as the ramp up can continue and it doesn't dip too much at weekends.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  20. #2450
    Everything about this potential scandal is very unclear right now:

    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  21. #2451
    Covid vaccine: 72% of black people unlikely to have jab, UK survey finds

    Sage voices concern at BAME uptake and says more must be done to increase trust in vaccine

    Advisers from the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) have raised fresh concerns over Covid vaccine uptake among black, Asian and minority ethnic communities (BAME) as research showed up to 72% of black people said they were unlikely to have the jab.

    Historical issues of unethical healthcare research, and structural and institutional racism and discrimination, are key reasons for lower levels of trust in the vaccination programme, a report from Sage said.

    The figures come from the UK Household Longitudinal Study, which conducts annual interviews to gain a long-term perspective on British people’s lives.

    In late November, the researchers contacted 12,035 participants to investigate the prevalence of coronavirus vaccine hesitancy in the UK, and whether certain subgroups were more likely to be affected by it.

    Overall, the study found high levels of willingness to be vaccinated, with 82% of people saying they were likely or very likely to have the jab – rising to 96% among people over the age of 75.

    Women, younger people and those with lower levels of education were less willing, but hesitancy was particularly high among people from black groups, where 72% said they were unlikely or very unlikely to be vaccinated. Among Pakistani and Bangladeshi groups this figure was 42%. Eastern European groups were also less willing.

    These figures are higher than previous estimates by the Royal Society for Public Health. Its poll of 2,076 UK adults found 57% of respondents from BAME backgrounds would take a Covid jab if advised by their GP or another health professional, compared with 79% of white respondents.

    “Trust is particularly important for black communities that have low trust in healthcare organisations and research findings due to historical issues of unethical healthcare research,” said the Sage experts.

    “Trust is also undermined by structural and institutional racism and discrimination. Minority ethnic groups have historically been underrepresented within health research, including vaccines trials, which can influence trust in a particular vaccine being perceived as appropriate and safe, and concerns that immunisation research is not ethnically heterogenous.”

    The report emphasised the need for engagement with trusted sources such as GPs, and scientists from within BAME communities to respond to concerns about vaccine safety and efficacy.

    “Approaches should acknowledge the historical issues in healthcare research to address mistrust towards government and healthcare services experienced in black communities in relation to vaccination,” it said.
    Quote Originally Posted by Steely Glint View Post
    It's actually the original French billion, which is bi-million, which is a million to the power of 2. We adopted the word, and then they changed it, presumably as revenge for Crecy and Agincourt, and then the treasonous Americans adopted the new French usage and spread it all over the world. And now we have to use it.

    And that's Why I'm Voting Leave.

  22. #2452
    As important as that historical context is, I believe authorities and commentators are focusing too much on saying the "right" thing (about the historical reasons for distrust) and underestimating the impact of social cues and peer effects. Need to help respected members of their resp. communities who can model positive vaccine attitudes and convey their own positive feelings—not just address concerns with data.
    Last edited by Aimless; 01-16-2021 at 09:55 AM.
    "One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."

  23. #2453
    Quote Originally Posted by Aimless View Post
    As important as that historical context is, I believe they're too much on saying the "right" thing and underestimating the impact of social cues and peer effects. Need to help respected members of their resp. communities who can model positive vaccine attitudes and convey their own positive feelings—not just address concerns with data.
    Indeed, hence why a lot of elderly celebrities like Gandalf and Attenborough have released pictures or videos of them getting their vaccines. It would be good to get someone like eg Trevor McDonald or Trevor Phillips doing the same, if they've not already had it yet.

    But a lot comes more from friends relatives doing it than celebrities, even relatable celebrities. There is a literal QAnon anti-vax conspiracy loon working in my wife's unit, she was spreading 'peadophile' nonsense before the US election and anti-vax nonsense before the vaccine rollout. When my wife's workplace was told that they were now eligible for the vaccine and should get it there were 5 units and 4 of them promptly had the staff signing up but on her unit people hesitated. My wife immediately got hers then returned to work and told everyone she'd had it done - which prompted a bit of surprise as they'd been listening to the Q moron and nobody had wanted to put their head above the parapet with her around - and suddenly everyone but the Q idiot had signed up. It just took someone they knew to say they were happy to have it done that got them to break through the idiocy thank goodness apart from the loon whom it is concerning still works there.

    According to my wife now the Q moron has shut up about anti-vax. She continued for a bit longer until eventually people started snapping at her to basically STFU.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  24. #2454
    Senior Member Flixy's Avatar
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    Glad your wife broke through the loon's craziness
    Keep on keepin' the beat alive!

  25. #2455
    Quote Originally Posted by RandBlade View Post
    But a lot comes more from friends relatives doing it than celebrities, even relatable celebrities. There is a literal QAnon anti-vax conspiracy loon working in my wife's unit, she was spreading 'peadophile' nonsense before the US election and anti-vax nonsense before the vaccine rollout. When my wife's workplace was told that they were now eligible for the vaccine and should get it there were 5 units and 4 of them promptly had the staff signing up but on her unit people hesitated. My wife immediately got hers then returned to work and told everyone she'd had it done - which prompted a bit of surprise as they'd been listening to the Q moron and nobody had wanted to put their head above the parapet with her around - and suddenly everyone but the Q idiot had signed up. It just took someone they knew to say they were happy to have it done that got them to break through the idiocy thank goodness apart from the loon whom it is concerning still works there.

    According to my wife now the Q moron has shut up about anti-vax. She continued for a bit longer until eventually people started snapping at her to basically STFU.


    God that makes depressing reading.
    Quote Originally Posted by Steely Glint View Post
    It's actually the original French billion, which is bi-million, which is a million to the power of 2. We adopted the word, and then they changed it, presumably as revenge for Crecy and Agincourt, and then the treasonous Americans adopted the new French usage and spread it all over the world. And now we have to use it.

    And that's Why I'm Voting Leave.

  26. #2456
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...y-covid-jab-uk

    "Women, younger people and those with lower levels of education were less willing, but hesitancy was particularly high among people from black groups, where 72% said they were unlikely or very unlikely to be vaccinated."

    Well at least the people who want to get one will get it faster than. America also has an anti-vax problem that also interestingly enough falls along racial lines:

    https://www.deseret.com/indepth/2020...enter-outbreak

    "When Pew asked if the benefits of the MMR vaccine outweigh the risks, 92% of white Americans said yes. But 78% of Hispanic and 74% of black Americans said the same. And while 23% of white adults rated the risk of side effects from the vaccine as “at least medium,” the numbers were 45% for Hispanic adults and 46% for black adults, according to the survey."

  27. #2457
    "Vaccine Tourism": people driving and flying to FL (even from other countries) to get the vaccine. Way to go DeSantis.

  28. #2458
    Something to smile at.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  29. #2459
    Jeez how depressing.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ominous Gamer View Post
    ℬeing upset is understandable, but be upset at yourself for poor planning, not at the world by acting like a spoiled bitch during an interview.

  30. #2460
    I spoke to my sister yesterday and she had some thoughts that are relevant to recent discussions in this thread. For context, she runs a large hospital that is administered by the federal government and has been heading up their Covid response and vaccination planning efforts:

    - Initial rollout has gone pretty well, they've already vaccinated about 3% of their patient base (faster than the surrounding region) and are ramping up as quickly as possible

    - The logistics are fiendishly complex given the volume of patients, dosing schedules, and variety of vaccines. She was already planning on just working with one vaccine supplier but handling the 'first dose vs. second dose' logistics. Now, the feds are sending her the other supplier, so now she'll be providing 3 or 4 different possible treatments simultaneously (e.g. Pfizer 1st dose, Pfizer 2nd dose, Moderna 1st dose, Moderna 2nd dose), including the different handling requirements and storage stability. God help them if they start getting AZN or JNJ delivered as well.

    - The government hasn't been doing them any favors. Vaccines are distributed on the basis of scheduled vaccination appointments and vaccine on hand, but she can't have her staff schedule appointments weeks in advance if she doesn't know how much vaccine she'll have. It's a classic Catch-22 and would be dramatically helped if some of the solutions I outlined earlier were used (e.g. transparency on vaccine supply and forward looking guidance); they have not been to date.

    - Despite all this, it feels pretty damned good to vaccinate someone right now because the current population they're focused on is probably literally saving their lives. She just had a 101 and 103 year old in the clinic last week, and if they got Covid they're pretty much toast.

    Long story short? Local distribution can always be better, but better guidance/distribution from central authorities can dramatically help with local logistics.
    "When I meet God, I am going to ask him two questions: Why relativity? And why turbulence? I really believe he will have an answer for the first." - Werner Heisenberg (maybe)

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