Also, any species advanced enough to have built a magical FTL drive will likely have mastered the technology of building habitats in space anyway, so why the need to conquer planets?
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Also, any species advanced enough to have built a magical FTL drive will likely have mastered the technology of building habitats in space anyway, so why the need to conquer planets?
I don't know about murdering, but I don't have the least objection to a worry about plundering. Yeah we have a problem with "single comparative sample" but what we see on Earth is a tendency for life to spread out and fill any environmental niche it can access, and sentience on our part hasn't seemed to cause any significant decrease in this behavior. In fact, we use it to adapt both ourselves, and the environments we come across, so we can spread into them.
He's also making a pretty important psychological judgement that is also unfounded —*that a society advanced enough to travel across space (which would take generations unless they had some kind of FTL technology) wouldn't also have a sense of morality or simple intellectual curiosity. That they would just be resource-hungry slugs after our water and sweet, sweet gravel.
Mmm, gravel...
Spoiler:
But your response to the habitable planets query is wildly hypothetical biology. Interesting.
Is that kinda like how people advanced enough to split the atom would certainly have enough morality not to engage in bloody wars of imperial conquest, or conduct mass-exterminations of those whose opinions are different than theirs? :|
Really, if there's one thing that humanity has conclusively proven, it's that better technology doesn't make better people.
I actually think we are better. When we invade countries, most of us don't rape and slit the throats of random women anymore (except in central Africa). We hold [often fruitless] to address issues of planetary importance. We engage with massive negotiations to limit/disarm the proliferation of nuclear weapons.
We've done horrible things, but over time we've become aware of it and larger portions of humanity have tried to avoid doing abjectly terrible things.
There's a difference though in that hypothetical biology is at least possible without having to discover brand new fundamental principles in organic chemistry (like when the early Earth had air we couldn't even breathe there was plenty of anaerobic activity going on for example). The idea that our air might have the wrong mix of gases for an alien biology isn't that far fetched.
Hypothetical physics on the other hand almost always requires some kind of handwave or ass pull.
Fun fact: the US isn't the only nation with the ability to split the atom. Russia, China and Pakistan are all members of the nuclear club... and don't adhere to "our" standard of morality, by any stretch of the imagination. But they making exciting new discoveries in the fields of torture and techniques for silencing political dissent.
Yeah, but they aren't planning to commit genocide and conquer the earth to consume all of our precious gravel, are they?
Well, they claim they aren't... but they do lie a lot. And some of their food *is* pretty salty, so maybe it's a strategic possibility we should be paying more attention to.
This sets up a problem though. If they are so numerous that they need to plunder every planet they come across, then we can't hide from them like Hawking suggests. If they aren't that numerous, then there are still plenty of other more easily attainable resources out there.
My other problem is that if you have the resources and technology for interstellar travel, you've very likely developed the resources and technology to produce any other resource you might need, or at least to get to a place that isn't inhabited.
I don't see Hawking as being wrong in postulating that a meet up between our species might go over like the meeting of the Native Americans and the Colonists, but I'm not exactly sure plundering for resources would be their primary goal of coming here.
Consider it from our perspective. What would be the point to raiding a whole planet inhabited by sentient and sapient beings simply for their resources? How would there be no alternatives?
From our perspective, it's rarely been about "need." Columbus didn't discover America because he needed Lebensraum, Africa wasn't colonized because Europeans needed negros, and the British didn't conquer the globe because they needed somewhere to send their hideously ugly women. It was based on desire.
For all we know, humans make great pets, or are a tasty source of protein, or are really amusing because many of them treat their women as equals. Or Earth is just a really pretty paradise planet compared to all the others... and human civilization must be wiped out because it's blocking the view.
Uh, no, actually it's exactly the opposite. Universe's most abundant element + heat + oxygen. It is, in fact, a spontaneous process because it doesn't require a whole lot of energy.
If they're here, then they're spreading beyond their base ecological niche. So much is obvious. The only parallel we have is life here on Earth, which tends to aggressively exploit any ecological niche it can shove itself into. Intelligence itself, at least on our level, is plainly insufficient of itself to stop this behavior because, well, we haven't. And even if it were, again, we're talking about them being here, which means that yes, they are spreading in some degree, so they plainly haven't overridden that behavior anyway. And if they're spreading across space, they've plainly thought of at least a few tricks we can't realistically engineer yet, which is just never a thing to inspire a sense of security. Given this, I don't see how a cautionary comment is particularly out of line.
That source doesn't state the density of clouds.
This one does,
http://hypertextbook.com/facts/2000/DaWeiCai.shtml
Quote:
"On average, the density of matter in the space between the 10^11 stars of the Milky Way is 0.1 neutral hydrogen atoms (H) per cubic centimeter."
After Reading Only the OP and the first few Page 1 responses, I have 2 cents to share:
There's two problems with Hawkings warning:
#1. There are no resources here on Earth that are not plentiful practically everywhere else near and far. Except maybe our brand of life. I could make up a scifi story where something like that might be worth conquering for, but it would be a stretch.
#2. He assumes aliens will be like us in their behavior and in their resource needs. The latter is irrelevant per #1 above. The former is a serious mistake but it could go either way. Aliens could be murderous xenophobes. They could also have Jesus like compassion and empathy. Or they could have such different minds that we could never understand each other, which might turn out badly for us. Its impossible to know before you actually find aliens, and of course by then its probably too late.
So the sensible question becomes: Assuming any aliens we contact are vastly technologically superior to us, is it worth the risk to contact them or should we make an effort to hide? (Can anyone say Fermi Paradox Solution #7?)
:haha:
Hawking has never made a case to hide, he has always been a strong supporter of getting the hell off this rock.
Quote:
"Life on Earth is at the ever-increasing risk of being wiped out by a disaster such as sudden global warming, nuclear war, a genetically engineered virus or other dangers ... I think the human race has no future if it doesn't go into space."
So, clearly someone doesn't know what an average is. Anyone else wanna jump in and edumacate our poor communist?
And how would we go about hiding from a technologically superior, space faring race of aliens? I mean, there's only so much that running under the nearest tree will do to conceal us, you know.
Besides which, the warning doesn't mean we should hide or nuke any spaceship before it lands - it just means that should we be contacted by advanced alien life, we need to be careful about how we approach the situation, lest we meet the same fate as the Native Americans. For starters, we could not make the same mistake the Aztecs did, and welcome our future conquerors as gods (and make it easy for them to slaughter us, herd us onto reservations and steal all ourgoldtasty gravel).
We can hide from aliens and still spread the eggs. :)
I'm starting to think 'hide' was a poor choice of words. First and foremost hiding would mean not attempting to contact any alien species we observe. For example, if SETI picks up some signal and we determine its of intelligent origin. Assuming its broadcast and not focussed at us, we would hide by not sending our own signal to the source. The second way to hide would be to not send out powerful signals of our own, both intentionally as has been done in the past, or inadvertantly via mass media. This is the kind of hiding I was thinking of.
The third and most extreme way would be to not leave our star system and go out exploring. That decision may have already been made for us due to distance, but if we really really wanted to, we could go despite that obstacle (IMO).
What signals?
http://ryanflood.files.wordpress.com...ht-410x410.jpg
How about slaves?
Can't mine those from gas clouds in space. ;)
I'd say no. (not worth the risk)Quote:
So the sensible question becomes: Assuming any aliens we contact are vastly technologically superior to us, is it worth the risk to contact them or should we make an effort to hide? (Can anyone say Fermi Paradox Solution #7?)
Talk of FTL's and alternative mineral gathering sites are fun and all, but he wasn't speculating on what they might want, and it's not really relevant.
If a superior species contacts us, they are going to have a reason for doing so, and the odds of those reasons being purely to our benefit, are long odds indeed.
Intentional radio signals directed toward aliens. Or inadvertant signals from our radio and television communication.
Not sure what you mean by the pic. The lights of Earth arn't visible very far out. Certainly not from another star. The most likely way they would find us is our radio broadcasts. Or by looking at the shit we put in our atmosphere. That's a dead give away...
whoosh
Robots would be much better slaves than humans could ever possibly be. And if you have the tech to travel betweent he stars to pic up slaves, it seems you'd have the tech to build a decent robot.
What they might want is key, though. And fun to speculate.Quote:
I'd say no. (not worth the risk)
Talk of FTL's and alternative mineral gathering sites are fun and all, but he wasn't speculating on what they might want, and it's not really relevant.
If a superior species contacts us, they are going to have a reason for doing so, and the odds of those reasons being purely to our benefit, are long odds indeed.
Yeah, it's fun to speculate.
But since we couldn't know what they want, we can only know they want something, and is that something going to be something that benefits us or hurts us?
As long as we're trapped on this planet with no room to maneuver, why risk the real possiblity of them wanting something we aren't going to want to give up?
Completely true. CHON is not exactly rare. This is just a B movie trope to justify teh evil aliens. Darwinism apparently being unsuitable.
They hate our way of life! W had it right all along!Quote:
Except maybe our brand of life.
As an aside, I wonder if a crazy religion could govern aliens. As you note, the natural resources angle is hogwash. But what if aliens had an equivalent of "God gave us dominion over the birds of the air, the fishes of the sea, and those butt ugly mudpeople of planet three of the qrtzp system?"
Given that every US president publicly professes a deep obedience to God, is this so far-fetched?
This I seriously disagree with. If we agree that any advanced species would have arisen out of the hundreds of millions of years crucible of evolution (and I for one insist on that as a premise), then they would likely be cutthroat, combative and self-serving, like us. And they would have been pulled forward by an exceptional couple of percent that have no control over policy, also like us (meaning that the large majority of the species would be relatively dim individuals who can't see beyond the end of the own junk). In fact, isn't this almost by definition? Wouldn't it be reasonable to expect those traits from any evolved organism? I'd be willing to grant that a "space baby" species might have become sophisticated enough to have moved past that, but would such a species really give a crap? It would be like us fussing over ants.Quote:
The former is a serious mistake but it could go either way. Aliens could be murderous xenophobes. They could also have Jesus like compassion and empathy. Or they could have such different minds that we could never understand each other, which might turn out badly for us. Its impossible to know before you actually find aliens, and of course by then its probably too late.
Or alternatively there's a high degree of competition with other latently psychopathic species before one reaches such enlightenment, in which case the cutthroat evolution never stops, and nobody ever moves beyond it, no matter how advanced they become.
Either way, it seems very likely that any species who would be remotely interested in us would likely be narsty SOBs. Unless they have some do-gooder liberals working against their economic interests, that is.
I'd say Hawking is spot on. Parsimony argues to be as conservative as possible with the existence of our species, and defer first contact as long as possible. Not cowering, but to avoid it as long as that doesn't interfere with our progress. Certainly don't seek it out.Quote:
So the sensible question becomes: Assuming any aliens we contact are vastly technologically superior to us, is it worth the risk to contact them or should we make an effort to hide? (Can anyone say Fermi Paradox Solution #7?)
EM. It is by orders of magnitude our biggest footprint in the universe.
Heh, totally agree. Like the gravel allusion. :up:Quote:
Besides which, the warning doesn't mean we should hide or nuke any spaceship before it lands - it just means that should we be contacted by advanced alien life, we need to be careful about how we approach the situation, lest we meet the same fate as the Native Americans. For starters, we could not make the same mistake the Aztecs did, and welcome our future conquerors as gods (and make it easy for them to slaughter us, herd us onto reservations and steal all ourgoldtasty gravel).
Why not? Because we might die? We're all going to die anyway. I say let's risk it. If they come and lay eggs in our chests, who cares? I'd rather die knowing than to quiver and hide in ignorance. :D:up:
I read first contact novella where the aliens were broadcasting signals with designs to build teleporter gateways. The humans who got the signal built the gateway and through it came attacking hordes. The humans managed to close the gate right quick but the aliens at that point knew where they were and sent an attack fleet the hard way over decades of transit time. That story's obviously been done, but the rub was what they were looking for. The alien attackers were actually AIs built by an alien race that lived entirely in VR and were more or less immortal. The AIs would go out looking for other intelligent beings and download all the experiences of individuals from those species and send the information back so the VR aliens could live those experiences. Unfortunately with humans, the download process was to lop off our heads and disintegrate them.
What I meant was the way life works on our planet, the various complex chemicals and reactions that we use, etc. It might yeild something of value for aliens.
I would not be surprised at all.Quote:
As an aside, I wonder if a crazy religion could govern aliens. As you note, the natural resources angle is hogwash. But what if aliens had an equivalent of "God gave us dominion over the birds of the air, the fishes of the sea, and those butt ugly mudpeople of planet three of the qrtzp system?"
You have a dim view of humanity and I hope you're wrong. :(Quote:
This I seriously disagree with. If we agree that any advanced species would have arisen out of the hundreds of millions of years crucible of evolution (and I for one insist on that as a premise), then they would likely be cutthroat, combative and self-serving, like us. And they would have been pulled forward by an exceptional couple of percent that have no control over policy, also like us (meaning that the large majority of the species would be relatively dim individuals who can't see beyond the end of the own junk). In fact, isn't this almost by definition? Wouldn't it be reasonable to expect those traits from any evolved organism? I'd be willing to grant that a "space baby" species might have become sophisticated enough to have moved past that, but would such a species really give a crap? It would be like us fussing over ants.
It may be that any species that doesn't find a way to be less aggresive and/or individually selfish can never get much beyond the point of being able to self-destruct. After all its not at all certain our civilization will survive the next 100 years.
It seems true communism might be viable. It isn't for humans because we're as fucked up as you say, but consider the ants. Something like 75% of insect biomass is ant and that's because their supreme cooperative abilities offer tremendous survival advantage. Intelligent beings with that kind of cooperative ability would not necessarily be insanely aggressive/ selfish.Quote:
Either way, it seems very likely that any species who would be remotely interested in us would likely be narsty SOBs. Unless they have some do-gooder liberals working against their economic interests, that is.
Meh, I seriously doubt it. If that technologically advanced, presumably they'd have advanced biology and chemistry. After all, the new thing in medicinal chemistry to to program E. coli to synthesize drug precursors en masse. And thus instead of a 12 step synthesis with precursor A, you have a 6 step synthesis with precursor B. Much cheaper, higher profit margin. It's like what was done with humulin 25 years ago, but with multi-step engineering to get the biosynthetic pathway down.
Ideological certitude is probably the single most dangerous invention of intelligence (well, maybe rationalization), and I can't imagine that it would be limited to humans. And no, this is not restricted to religion.Quote:
I would not be surprised at all.
Just a biologist. What baffles me is how somebody can understand evolution and think otherwise. See Nessie's Darwin quote. Pretty much nails it. And trust me, I've struggled long and hard to find something better. It just ain't there if you stick to the facts. :(Quote:
You have a dim view of humanity and I hope you're wrong. :(
Now that's a good point. One could consider it the advanced intelligence corollary of Darwinism: at a certain point, a successful intelligent species is too aggressive, and will inevitably destroy itself in one way or another. Even then Kzin could be considered an example. :)Quote:
It may be that any species that doesn't find a way to be less aggresive and/or individually selfish can never get much beyond the point of being able to self-destruct. After all its not at all certain our civilization will survive the next 100 years.
But where is the bar set? Reasonable enough to escape self-annihilation does not mean reasonable enough to co-exist with another species. And consider "A mote in God's eye" and whether a different species could trust us enough. Only if they were vastly superior.
Sure, you could consider a communal system. Now, consider what ants do to other nests of the same species, much less other species. Darwinism still works, even if the unit is a community and not an individual. Consider what we do to other species. It is about 99% "what can I gain from this creature."Quote:
It seems true communism might be viable. It isn't for humans because we're as fucked up as you say, but consider the ants. Something like 75% of insect biomass is ant and that's because their supreme cooperative abilities offer tremendous survival advantage. Intelligent beings with that kind of cooperative ability would not necessarily be insanely aggressive/ selfish.
edit: that's right, two Niven allusions in the same post. :up: