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Last edited by BluntHorse; 08-26-2024 at 02:07 AM.
Bugs are on the house![]()
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
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"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
How the hell can one know precisely what is being bombed in a situation like this?
Other than satellites and years of intelligence gathering?
Hope is the denial of reality
Almost certainly tracking phones.
"One day, we shall die. All the other days, we shall live."
Also, you can always just not drop bombs.
The light that once I thought compassion still casting shadows in your action
The words you shared were cold transactions that bring me to curse what you've done
When you're up there absorbed in greatness with such success you've grown complacent
I hope you scorch your many faces when you fly too close to the sun
I think it all depends on what we're defining as 'precisely', doesn't it? There's little doubt that Israel has achieved remarkably good tactical intelligence in Gaza; obviously still imperfect, but they have a pretty good handle on Hamas' capabilities and infrastructure through a combination of remote sensing, sigint, and humint. That being said, Hamas also has developed pretty good tradecraft (especially among their senior leadership) and has exploited asymmetric capabilities to their fullest, including extensive tunneling efforts.
It's reasonable to assume that Israel did have reasonably precise intelligence that an important Hamas underground facility/piece of infrastructure was present under those streets. It's also very believable that they didn't have its exact location or know the exact extent of the facility. If, as has been suggested, those apartment buildings collapsed not because of the bombing but rather because their foundations were undermined from the collapse of Hamas excavations, it's reasonable for Israel to have been surprised at the extent of the damage and not have anticipated it in their calculations before the strike.
I think the important question is not whether their anticipated civilian casualties were overly optimistic or not (their assumptions seem to be broadly in line with their past experience), but whether the Hamas target was important enough to warrant systematically bombing the roadway in a solid block or two of Gaza City with relatively large penetrating munitions. I don't think we will ever get an understanding of the importance of that target to Hamas.
"When I meet God, I am going to ask him two questions: Why relativity? And why turbulence? I really believe he will have an answer for the first." - Werner Heisenberg (maybe)